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League of Ireland Premier Division · Matchweek 35 · 23 October 2026 · 20:00

Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers: prediction, tip and odds, 23 October 2026, League of Ireland Premier Division

1Shamrock Rovers1.17
XDraw8.12
2Sligo Rovers18.50

Best price · Updated 23/10/26, 18:00

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TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesTableAnalysisH2HFAQ

Played: final score 4–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Shamrock Rovers v Sligo Rovers: 23 October 2026 · 20:00 at Tallaght Stadium (Dublin), with A. Hunter refereeing. We have Shamrock Rovers (82%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.

Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers: tip and prediction
Handicap
Shamrock Rovers -2 (Asian handicap)
1.80
Goals
BTTS: no
1.67
Combo
Shamrock Rovers + over 2.5 goals combined
1.69
59% · fair odds for the combo
54%Chance
2–0likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Shamrock Rovers or draw (1X): 94% probability, best odds 1.04. With short odds on the result, a goals tip alongside it is our suggestion.

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Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Shamrock Rovers are 1st in the table, on 68 points after 36 matches (20W 8D 8L), and Sligo Rovers are 10th, on 25 points (5W 10D 21L).
  2. Head to head. From 31 meetings: 17 wins for Shamrock Rovers, 6 wins for Sligo Rovers and 8 draws, with the goals at 58–26.

What to expect

For us, Shamrock Rovers are the more likely winners. We estimate a 3–1 score, roughly 4 goals in all, with 2–0 (13.3%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

Odds of 1.17 on the result do not offer much, so it is worth turning to the goals markets: BTTS: no (odds 1.67), which we rate at 57%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 43% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 66% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 31; Shamrock Rovers 17 wins, 8 draws, Sligo Rovers 6 wins.
  2. An average of 2.7 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 66%.
  4. Out: Shamrock Rovers 0, Sligo Rovers 0.

Alternative tip: BTTS – no

Alternative tip: BTTS – no (probability 57%, best price 1.67). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Shamrock Rovers: no absences. Absent for Sligo Rovers: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price1.178.1218.50
Market average1.147.4216.55
Lowest odds1.126.5014.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.141.1183.7%
Over 2.5 goals1.441.4165.8%
Under 2.5 goals2.882.7034.2%
Over 3.5 goals2.132.0745.1%
BTTS – yes2.202.1742.7%
BTTS – no1.671.6257.3%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 23/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.7%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Shamrock Rovers 2–0 Sligo Rovers, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: Shamrock Rovers 1st (68 points), Sligo Rovers 10th (25 points).
  • H2H: 31 matches: Shamrock Rovers 17W 8D 6L, goals 58–26.
  • Absences: Shamrock Rovers 0, Sligo Rovers 0.

Who will win Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers?

Shamrock Rovers82%
Draw13%
Sligo Rovers6%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers: more betting tips

Shamrock Rovers or draw (1X)94.3% · fair odds 1.06 · best 1.04
Likely
Over 1.5 goals83.7% · fair odds 1.19 · best 1.14
Likely
Shamrock Rovers to win81.8% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.17
Likely
Over 2.5 goals65.8% · fair odds 1.52 · best 1.44
Likely
BTTS – no57.3% · fair odds 1.75 · best 1.67
Possible
Under 3.5 goals54.9% · fair odds 1.82 · best 1.73
Possible
Over 3.5 goals45.1% · fair odds 2.22 · best 2.13
Outsider
BTTS – yes42.7% · fair odds 2.34 · best 2.20
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals34.2% · fair odds 2.92 · best 2.88
Outsider
Draw12.6% · fair odds 7.96 · best 8.12
Outsider
Sligo Rovers to win5.7% · fair odds 17.68 · best 18.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.90 · Under 1.82
probability of over 49.0%

Correct score prediction

2 : 013.3%
3 : 012.2%
1 : 09.6%
4 : 08.4%
2 : 18.0%
3 : 17.3%

Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers: team news and absences

Shamrock Rovers

  • No reported absences

Sligo Rovers

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Shamrock Rovers3620-8-859:3868
2Bohemians3619-8-963:4465
3St Patrick's Athletic3617-9-1055:3160
4Shelbourne3612-13-1152:5049
5Derry City3611-15-1050:4748
6Dundalk3611-12-1355:5945
7Waterford3610-13-1354:6143
8Galway United3610-12-1446:5342
9Drogheda United3610-10-1644:5740
10Sligo Rovers365-10-2128:6625

Recent matches

Shamrock Rovers

30 OctLDundalk 3–1 Shamrock Rovers
23 OctWShamrock Rovers 4–0 Sligo Rovers
16 OctLGalway United 2–0 Shamrock Rovers
12 OctWShamrock Rovers 2–1 Bohemians
8 OctWShamrock Rovers 3–1 Drogheda United

Sligo Rovers

30 OctDSligo Rovers 2–2 Derry City
23 OctLShamrock Rovers 4–0 Sligo Rovers
17 OctDSligo Rovers 1–1 Dundalk
9 OctLShelbourne 5–1 Sligo Rovers
19 SeptLSligo Rovers 0–1 St Patrick's Athletic

Home and away

Shamrock Rovers at home18 matches: 14W 3D 1L, goals 37–15
Sligo Rovers away18 matches: 2W 3D 13L, goals 10–37

Head to head

All matches
17Shamrock Rovers
8Draws
6Sligo Rovers
23/10/26 · Shamrock Rovers 4–0 Sligo Rovers
3/7/26 · Sligo Rovers 1–2 Shamrock Rovers
22/5/26 · Shamrock Rovers 1–2 Sligo Rovers
13/3/26 · Sligo Rovers 0–2 Shamrock Rovers
1/11/25 · Shamrock Rovers 1–2 Sligo Rovers
5/7/25 · Sligo Rovers 2–2 Shamrock Rovers

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.7%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers?

Shamrock Rovers -2 (Asian handicap) (1.80); BTTS: no (1.67).

Who will win Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers?

We estimate: Shamrock Rovers win 82%, draw 13%, Sligo Rovers win 6%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 23 October 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: Tallaght Stadium, Dublin. Referee: A. Hunter.

Who will be missing?

Shamrock Rovers: no absences. Sligo Rovers: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 66% (odds 1.44); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 34% (odds 2.88).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 43% (odds 2.20).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 2–0 as most likely (13.3%), then 3–0 (12.2%) and 1–0 (9.6%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

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