Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is SpVgg Greuther Fürth against Holstein Kiel on 1 November 2026 · 12:30 at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer (Fürth), and Lars Erbst will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. SpVgg Greuther Fürth are 9th in the table, on 12 points after 10 matches (3W 3D 4L), and Holstein Kiel are 17th, on 8 points (1W 5D 4L).
- Attack and defence. On average SpVgg Greuther Fürth score 1.3 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.8; for Holstein Kiel the figures are 1.1 scored and 1.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: 2W 3D 4L, goals 12–16; Holstein Kiel: 1W 5D 3L, goals 10–11.
- Head to head. From 15 meetings: 6 wins for SpVgg Greuther Fürth, 5 wins for Holstein Kiel and 4 draws, with the goals at 22–22.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–2 score estimate, roughly 4 goals in all, and 1–1 (10.8%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 63%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 63% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 60% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 15; SpVgg Greuther Fürth 6 wins, 4 draws, Holstein Kiel 5 wins.
- An average of 2.9 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 12–16, Holstein Kiel 10–11.
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 60%.
- Out: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0, Holstein Kiel 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 63%, best price 1.50). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for SpVgg Greuther Fürth: no absences. Absent for Holstein Kiel: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.60 | 3.77 | 2.66 |
| Market average | 2.51 | 3.63 | 2.52 |
| Lowest odds | 2.40 | 3.39 | 2.42 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.15 | 81.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.61 | 1.55 | 60.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.35 | 39.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.47 | 2.38 | 39.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.46 | 63.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.60 | 2.54 | 36.5% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 1/11/26, 12:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.1%.
At a glance
- Likely result: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–1 Holstein Kiel, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 9th (12 points), Holstein Kiel 17th (8 points).
- Form in the competition: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2W 3D 4L (12:16), Holstein Kiel 1W 5D 3L (10:11).
- H2H: 15 matches: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 6W 4D 5L, goals 22–22.
- Absences: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0, Holstein Kiel 0.
Who will win SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel: team news and absences
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
- No reported absences
Holstein Kiel
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 10 | 9-1-0 | 23:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  1. FC Nürnberg | 10 | 6-3-1 | 24:13 | 21 |
| 3 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 10 | 5-4-1 | 25:14 | 19 |
| 4 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 10 | 5-3-2 | 9:7 | 18 |
| 5 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 10 | 5-2-3 | 21:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 10 | 4-3-3 | 17:18 | 15 |
| 7 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 10 | 4-2-4 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 8 |  FC St. Pauli | 10 | 2-6-2 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 9 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 10 |  VfL Osnabrück | 10 | 3-2-5 | 14:17 | 11 |
| 11 |  VfL Bochum | 10 | 3-2-5 | 8:11 | 11 |
| 12 |  Hannover 96 | 10 | 3-2-5 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 13 |  Karlsruher SC | 10 | 3-2-5 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 14 |  Energie Cottbus | 10 | 2-4-4 | 18:20 | 10 |
| 15 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 10 | 3-1-6 | 16:18 | 10 |
| 16 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 10 | 2-3-5 | 9:19 | 9 |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1-5-4 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 18 |  Dynamo Dresden | 10 | 2-2-6 | 12:20 | 8 |
Recent matches
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
SpVgg Greuther FürthWLWLDHolstein KielLWDLDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel?
Holstein Kiel +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.71); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel?
We estimate: SpVgg Greuther Fürth win 37%, draw 26%, Holstein Kiel win 37%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 1 November 2026, kick-off: 12:30, venue: Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth. Referee: Lars Erbst.
Who will be missing?
SpVgg Greuther Fürth: no absences. Holstein Kiel: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 60% (odds 1.61); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 40% (odds 2.40).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 63% (odds 1.50).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.8%), then 1–2 (8.4%) and 2–1 (8.4%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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