Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is VfL Osnabrück against SpVgg Greuther Fürth on 25 October 2026 · 12:30 at Stadion an der Bremer Brücke (Osnabruck), and Justin Joel Hasmann will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. VfL Osnabrück are 10th in the table, on 11 points after 10 matches (3W 2D 5L), and SpVgg Greuther Fürth are 9th, on 12 points (3W 3D 4L).
- Head to head. From 7 meetings: 3 wins for VfL Osnabrück, 2 wins for SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 2 draws, with the goals at 8–6.
What to expect
For us, VfL Osnabrück are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (11.1%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 62% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 58% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 7; VfL Osnabrück 3 wins, 2 draws, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2 wins.
- An average of 2.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 58%.
- Out: VfL Osnabrück 0, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 62%, best price 1.53). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for VfL Osnabrück: no absences. Absent for SpVgg Greuther Fürth: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.18 | 3.70 | 3.31 |
| Market average | 2.12 | 3.60 | 3.15 |
| Lowest odds | 2.08 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.17 | 79.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.61 | 58.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.31 | 2.25 | 41.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.62 | 2.46 | 37.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.50 | 61.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.42 | 38.3% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 25/10/26, 12:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.8%.
At a glance
- Likely result: VfL Osnabrück 1–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: VfL Osnabrück 10th (11 points), SpVgg Greuther Fürth 9th (12 points).
- H2H: 7 matches: VfL Osnabrück 3W 2D 2L, goals 8–6.
- Absences: VfL Osnabrück 0, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0.
Who will win VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: team news and absences
VfL Osnabrück
- No reported absences
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 10 | 9-1-0 | 23:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  1. FC Nürnberg | 10 | 6-3-1 | 24:13 | 21 |
| 3 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 10 | 5-4-1 | 25:14 | 19 |
| 4 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 10 | 5-3-2 | 9:7 | 18 |
| 5 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 10 | 5-2-3 | 21:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 10 | 4-3-3 | 17:18 | 15 |
| 7 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 10 | 4-2-4 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 8 |  FC St. Pauli | 10 | 2-6-2 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 9 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 10 | VfL Osnabrück | 10 | 3-2-5 | 14:17 | 11 |
| 11 |  VfL Bochum | 10 | 3-2-5 | 8:11 | 11 |
| 12 |  Hannover 96 | 10 | 3-2-5 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 13 |  Karlsruher SC | 10 | 3-2-5 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 14 |  Energie Cottbus | 10 | 2-4-4 | 18:20 | 10 |
| 15 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 10 | 3-1-6 | 16:18 | 10 |
| 16 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 10 | 2-3-5 | 9:19 | 9 |
| 17 |  Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1-5-4 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 18 |  Dynamo Dresden | 10 | 2-2-6 | 12:20 | 8 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
VfL Osnabrück -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.89); Under 3.5 goals (1.53).
Who will win VfL Osnabrück vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
We estimate: VfL Osnabrück win 44%, draw 26%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth win 30%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 25 October 2026, kick-off: 12:30, venue: Stadion an der Bremer Brücke, Osnabruck. Referee: Justin Joel Hasmann.
Who will be missing?
VfL Osnabrück: no absences. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.67); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 42% (odds 2.31).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 62% (odds 1.53).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.1%), then 2–1 (9.1%) and 1–0 (8.2%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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