Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Exeter City against Crewe on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at St James Park (Exeter), and H. Wager will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Exeter City vs Crewe: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Exeter City are 12th in the table, on 19 points after 14 matches (5W 4D 5L), and Crewe are 4th, on 22 points (5W 7D 2L).
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (13.0%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.75), and we rate it at 55%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 52% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 45% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 45%.
- Out: Exeter City 0, Crewe 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 52%, best price 1.83). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Exeter City: no absences. Absent for Crewe: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Exeter City vs Crewe: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.55 | 3.40 | 3.02 |
| Market average | 2.45 | 3.15 | 2.86 |
| Lowest odds | 2.30 | 3.00 | 2.61 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.37 | 1.33 | 69.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.19 | 2.09 | 45.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.71 | 55.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.80 | 3.67 | 25.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.83 | 1.80 | 51.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 1.92 | 48.4% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 20/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Exeter City 1–1 Crewe, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Exeter City 12th (19 points), Crewe 4th (22 points).
- Absences: Exeter City 0, Crewe 0.
Who will win Exeter City vs Crewe?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Exeter City vs Crewe: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Exeter City vs Crewe: team news and absences
Exeter City
- No reported absences
Crewe
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 | Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4-3-7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Exeter City vs Crewe?
Crewe +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.80); Under 2.5 goals (1.75).
Who will win Exeter City vs Crewe?
We estimate: Exeter City win 38%, draw 30%, Crewe win 32%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 20 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: St James Park, Exeter. Referee: H. Wager.
Who will be missing?
Exeter City: no absences. Crewe: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 45% (odds 2.19); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 55% (odds 1.75).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 52% (odds 1.83).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (13.0%), then 1–0 (11.3%) and 0–1 (10.4%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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