Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Exeter City play Fleetwood Town at home on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at St James Park (Exeter); the referee is G. Laflin. For us, there is no clear favourite. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Exeter City are 12th in the table, on 19 points after 14 matches (5W 4D 5L), and Fleetwood Town are 16th, on 17 points (4W 5D 5L).
- Head to head. From 9 meetings: 4 wins for Exeter City, 1 win for Fleetwood Town and 4 draws, with the goals at 14–11.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.9%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.79), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 51% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 46% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 9; Exeter City 4 wins, 4 draws, Fleetwood Town 1 win.
- An average of 2.8 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 46%.
- Out: Exeter City 0, Fleetwood Town 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 51%, best price 1.87). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Exeter City: no absences. Absent for Fleetwood Town: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.50 | 3.34 | 3.10 |
| Market average | 2.39 | 3.20 | 2.96 |
| Lowest odds | 2.30 | 3.10 | 2.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.35 | 1.32 | 69.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.15 | 2.05 | 45.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.79 | 1.73 | 54.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.00 | 3.59 | 25.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.87 | 1.80 | 51.4% |
| BTTS – no | 1.93 | 1.90 | 48.6% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 13:59. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.0%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Exeter City 1–1 Fleetwood Town, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Exeter City 12th (19 points), Fleetwood Town 16th (17 points).
- H2H: 9 matches: Exeter City 4W 4D 1L, goals 14–11.
- Absences: Exeter City 0, Fleetwood Town 0.
Who will win Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town: team news and absences
Exeter City
- No reported absences
Fleetwood Town
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 | Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4-3-7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Exeter City
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town?
Exeter City +0 (Asian handicap) (1.78); Under 2.5 goals (1.79).
Who will win Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town?
We estimate: Exeter City win 39%, draw 29%, Fleetwood Town win 32%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 15:00, venue: St James Park, Exeter. Referee: G. Laflin.
Who will be missing?
Exeter City: no absences. Fleetwood Town: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.15); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 54% (odds 1.79).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 51% (odds 1.87).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.9%), then 1–0 (11.2%) and 0–1 (9.9%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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