Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 4–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Cheltenham v Fleetwood Town: 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at Whaddon Road (Cheltenham), with O. Mackey refereeing. We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Cheltenham are 5th in the table, on 21 points after 14 matches (6W 3D 5L), and Fleetwood Town are 16th, on 17 points (4W 5D 5L).
What to expect
For us, Fleetwood Town are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (12.1%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
What stands out is that the table favours the Cheltenham, whereas the betting market leans slightly towards the away side. When the indicators disagree like this, the match is difficult to read, and a more careful bet is the sensible choice.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.67), and we rate it at 57%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 57% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 52% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 52%.
- Out: Cheltenham 0, Fleetwood Town 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 57%, best price 1.67). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Cheltenham: no absences. Absent for Fleetwood Town: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.50 | 3.61 | 2.25 |
| Market average | 3.21 | 3.42 | 2.12 |
| Lowest odds | 2.90 | 3.15 | 2.05 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.23 | 75.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.90 | 1.81 | 51.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.04 | 1.95 | 48.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.95 | 31.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.64 | 56.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.14 | 43.3% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 20/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Cheltenham 1–1 Fleetwood Town, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Cheltenham 5th (21 points), Fleetwood Town 16th (17 points).
- Absences: Cheltenham 0, Fleetwood Town 0.
Who will win Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town: team news and absences
Cheltenham
- No reported absences
Fleetwood Town
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4-3-7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town?
Fleetwood Town -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.93); Both teams to score (1.67).
Who will win Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town?
We estimate: Cheltenham win 29%, draw 27%, Fleetwood Town win 44%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 20 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Whaddon Road, Cheltenham. Referee: O. Mackey.
Who will be missing?
Cheltenham: no absences. Fleetwood Town: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.90); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 48% (odds 2.04).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 57% (odds 1.67).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.1%), then 0–1 (10.1%) and 1–2 (9.1%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.