Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is FC Midtjylland against Lyngby on 25 October 2026 · 13:00 at MCH Arena (Herning), and Jakob Kehlet will referee. FC Midtjylland (67%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. FC Midtjylland are 1st in the table, on 31 points after 13 matches (9W 4D 0L), and Lyngby are 11th, on 11 points (2W 5D 6L).
- Attack and defence. On average FC Midtjylland score 1.9 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.0; for Lyngby the figures are 1.4 scored and 2.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. FC Midtjylland: 7W 4D 0L, goals 21–11; Lyngby: 1W 5D 5L, goals 15–24.
- Head to head. From 23 meetings: 10 wins for FC Midtjylland, 7 wins for Lyngby and 6 draws, with the goals at 33–33.
What to expect
For us, FC Midtjylland are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–1 (9.6%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.62), and we rate it at 60%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 60% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 68% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 23; FC Midtjylland 10 wins, 6 draws, Lyngby 7 wins.
- An average of 2.9 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: FC Midtjylland 21–11, Lyngby 15–24.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 68%.
- Out: FC Midtjylland 6, Lyngby 2.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 60%, best price 1.62). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for FC Midtjylland: D. Castillo, M. Erlic, M. Gogorza, M. Jensen, Junior Brumado, E. Olafsson. Absent for Lyngby: O. Snorre, I. Thorvaldsson. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.44 | 5.38 | 6.84 |
| Market average | 1.40 | 5.07 | 6.32 |
| Lowest odds | 1.33 | 4.75 | 5.75 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 | 1.10 | 85.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.44 | 1.38 | 67.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.91 | 32.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.10 | 1.98 | 47.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.54 | 60.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.34 | 39.7% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 25/10/26, 12:53. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.0%.
At a glance
- Likely result: FC Midtjylland 2–1 Lyngby, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: FC Midtjylland 1st (31 points), Lyngby 11th (11 points).
- Form in the competition: FC Midtjylland 7W 4D 0L (21:11), Lyngby 1W 5D 5L (15:24).
- H2H: 23 matches: FC Midtjylland 10W 6D 7L, goals 33–33.
- Absences: FC Midtjylland 6, Lyngby 2.
Who will win FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby: team news and absences
FC Midtjylland
- D. Castillonot in the squad · will miss the match
- M. Erlicfoot injury · will miss the match
- M. Gogorzahip injury · will miss the match
- M. Jensenfoot injury · will miss the match
- Junior Brumadoknee injury · will miss the match
- E. Olafssonillness · will miss the match
Lyngby
- O. Snorreknee injury · will miss the match
- I. Thorvaldssonabsence · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Midtjylland | 13 | 9-4-0 | 27:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  FC Copenhagen | 13 | 9-2-2 | 28:12 | 29 |
| 3 |  Viborg | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:12 | 23 |
| 4 |  Brøndby | 13 | 7-1-5 | 23:20 | 22 |
| 5 |  FC Nordsjælland | 13 | 5-5-3 | 20:17 | 20 |
| 6 |  Odense | 13 | 4-5-4 | 15:17 | 17 |
| 7 |  AC Horsens | 13 | 4-4-5 | 23:21 | 16 |
| 8 |  Aarhus | 13 | 2-6-5 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 9 |  Silkeborg | 13 | 2-6-5 | 17:24 | 12 |
| 10 |  Randers FC | 13 | 3-2-8 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 11 | Lyngby | 13 | 2-5-6 | 19:28 | 11 |
| 12 |  Sønderjyske | 13 | 2-2-9 | 17:31 | 8 |
Recent matches
FC Midtjylland
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
FC MidtjyllandWWWWDLyngbyWLDLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby?
FC Midtjylland -1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Both teams to score (1.62).
Who will win FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby?
We estimate: FC Midtjylland win 67%, draw 18%, Lyngby win 15%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 25 October 2026, kick-off: 13:00, venue: MCH Arena, Herning. Referee: Jakob Kehlet.
Who will be missing?
FC Midtjylland: D. Castillo, M. Erlic, M. Gogorza, M. Jensen, Junior Brumado, E. Olafsson. Lyngby: O. Snorre, I. Thorvaldsson. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 68% (odds 1.44); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 32% (odds 3.10).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 60% (odds 1.62).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–1 as most likely (9.6%), then 2–0 (9.1%) and 1–1 (8.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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