Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is FC Midtjylland against St. Truiden on 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at MCH Arena (Herning), and J. Xhaja will referee. FC Midtjylland (53%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. FC Midtjylland are 25th in the table, on 1 point after 2 matches (0W 1D 1L), and St. Truiden are 7th, on 6 points (2W 0D 0L).
What to expect
For us, FC Midtjylland are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (9.9%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
What stands out is that the table favours the St. Truiden, whereas the betting market leans slightly towards the home side. When the indicators disagree like this, the match is difficult to read, and a more careful bet is the sensible choice.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.55), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 62% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 62% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 62%.
- Out: FC Midtjylland 0, St. Truiden 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 62%, best price 1.53). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for FC Midtjylland: no absences. Absent for St. Truiden: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.84 | 4.20 | 4.50 |
| Market average | 1.76 | 3.94 | 4.14 |
| Lowest odds | 1.65 | 3.75 | 3.91 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.14 | 82.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.55 | 1.50 | 62.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.48 | 37.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.33 | 2.26 | 41.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.50 | 62.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.60 | 2.45 | 38.0% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 22/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.4%.
At a glance
- Likely result: FC Midtjylland 1–1 St. Truiden, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: FC Midtjylland 25th (1 point), St. Truiden 7th (6 points).
- Absences: FC Midtjylland 0, St. Truiden 0.
Who will win FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden: team news and absences
FC Midtjylland
- No reported absences
St. Truiden
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2-0-0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 |  FC Lugano | 2 | 2-0-0 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 3 |  Brann | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 5 |  Twente | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 6 |  Monaco | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 | St. Truiden | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 8 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 9 |  Brighton | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:0 | 4 |
| 10 |  FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1-1-0 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 11 |  Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 2 | 1-1-0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 13 |  Ajax | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 14 |  Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 16 |  SC Braga | 2 | 1-0-1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 17 |  Gent | 2 | 1-0-1 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 18 |  SC Freiburg | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 19 |  FC Nordsjælland | 2 | 0-2-0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 20 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 21 |  Riga | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 22 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0-1-1 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 23 |  CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 24 |  FK Jablonec | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 25 | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 26 |  Aarhus | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 27 |  Pafos | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 28 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 30 |  Getafe | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 32 |  FC Thun | 2 | 0-0-2 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 33 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 34 |  KuPS | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:8 | 0 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden?
St. Truiden +0.75 (Asian handicap) (2.03); Over 2.5 goals (1.55).
Who will win FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden?
We estimate: FC Midtjylland win 53%, draw 24%, St. Truiden win 23%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 22 October 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: MCH Arena, Herning. Referee: J. Xhaja.
Who will be missing?
FC Midtjylland: no absences. St. Truiden: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 62% (odds 1.55); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 38% (odds 2.55).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 62% (odds 1.53).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (9.9%), then 2–1 (9.7%) and 1–0 (7.9%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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