Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Granada CF play Valladolid at home on 23 October 2026 · 19:30 at Nuevo Los Cármenes (Granada); the referee is M. H. De Aza. For us, there is no clear favourite. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Granada CF vs Valladolid: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Granada CF are 4th in the table, on 23 points after 12 matches (7W 2D 3L), and Valladolid are 13th, on 15 points (4W 3D 5L).
- Head to head. From 14 meetings: 7 wins for Granada CF, 5 wins for Valladolid and 2 draws, with the goals at 22–17.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.6%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.86), and we rate it at 53%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 53% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 47% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 14; Granada CF 7 wins, 2 draws, Valladolid 5 wins.
- An average of 2.8 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 47%.
- Out: Granada CF 0, Valladolid 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 53%, best price 1.80). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Granada CF: no absences. Absent for Valladolid: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Granada CF vs Valladolid: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.26 | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| Market average | 2.16 | 3.23 | 3.39 |
| Lowest odds | 2.10 | 3.00 | 3.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.35 | 1.31 | 71.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.13 | 2.01 | 47.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.86 | 1.79 | 52.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.85 | 3.52 | 26.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.76 | 52.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.96 | 47.4% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 23/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.9%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Granada CF 1–1 Valladolid, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Granada CF 4th (23 points), Valladolid 13th (15 points).
- H2H: 14 matches: Granada CF 7W 2D 5L, goals 22–17.
- Absences: Granada CF 0, Valladolid 0.
Who will win Granada CF vs Valladolid?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Granada CF vs Valladolid: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Granada CF vs Valladolid: team news and absences
Granada CF
- No reported absences
Valladolid
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 | Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 |  Mallorca | 12 | 6-4-2 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 7 |  Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 8 |  Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:15 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 12 | 5-2-5 | 17:21 | 17 |
| 12 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 13 | Valladolid | 12 | 4-3-5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 11 | 3-5-3 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 17 |  Leganés | 12 | 3-3-6 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 19 |  Cádiz | 12 | 2-4-6 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 20 |  FC Andorra | 11 | 3-1-7 | 15:20 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Granada CF vs Valladolid?
Granada CF -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.94); Under 2.5 goals (1.86).
Who will win Granada CF vs Valladolid?
We estimate: Granada CF win 43%, draw 29%, Valladolid win 28%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 23 October 2026, kick-off: 19:30, venue: Nuevo Los Cármenes, Granada. Referee: M. H. De Aza.
Who will be missing?
Granada CF: no absences. Valladolid: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 47% (odds 2.13); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 53% (odds 1.86).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 53% (odds 1.80).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.6%), then 1–0 (11.5%) and 0–1 (9.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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