Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 4–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Valladolid v Leganés: 2 November 2026 · 17:30 at Estadio José Zorrilla (Valladolid), with Damaso Arcediano Monescillo refereeing. We have Valladolid (48%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Valladolid vs Leganés: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Valladolid are 13th in the table, on 15 points after 12 matches (4W 3D 5L), and Leganés are 17th, on 12 points (3W 3D 6L).
- Attack and defence. On average Valladolid score 1.5 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.5; for Leganés the figures are 0.6 scored and 1.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Valladolid: 3W 3D 5L, goals 16–16; Leganés: 3W 3D 5L, goals 7–16.
- Head to head. From 15 meetings: 5 wins for Valladolid, 6 wins for Leganés and 4 draws, with the goals at 19–27.
What to expect
For us, Valladolid are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (12.3%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.81), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 51% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 46% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 15; Valladolid 5 wins, 4 draws, Leganés 6 wins.
- An average of 3.1 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Valladolid 16–16, Leganés 7–16.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 46%.
- Out: Valladolid 0, Leganés 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 51%, best price 1.87). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Valladolid: no absences. Absent for Leganés: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Valladolid vs Leganés: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.00 | 3.64 | 4.00 |
| Market average | 1.94 | 3.44 | 3.84 |
| Lowest odds | 1.80 | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.37 | 1.32 | 70.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.15 | 2.04 | 46.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.81 | 1.75 | 53.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.93 | 3.64 | 25.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.87 | 1.83 | 50.5% |
| BTTS – no | 1.91 | 1.87 | 49.5% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 2/11/26, 16:44. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Valladolid 1–1 Leganés, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Valladolid 13th (15 points), Leganés 17th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Valladolid 3W 3D 5L (16:16), Leganés 3W 3D 5L (7:16).
- H2H: 15 matches: Valladolid 5W 4D 6L, goals 19–27.
- Absences: Valladolid 0, Leganés 0.
Who will win Valladolid vs Leganés?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Valladolid vs Leganés: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Valladolid vs Leganés: team news and absences
Valladolid
- No reported absences
Leganés
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 |  Mallorca | 12 | 6-4-2 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 7 |  Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 8 |  Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:15 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 12 | 5-2-5 | 17:21 | 17 |
| 12 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 13 | Valladolid | 12 | 4-3-5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 11 | 3-5-3 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 17 | Leganés | 12 | 3-3-6 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 19 |  Cádiz | 12 | 2-4-6 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 20 |  FC Andorra | 11 | 3-1-7 | 15:20 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Valladolid
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
ValladolidWLLWDLeganésLDLLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Valladolid vs Leganés?
Leganés +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Under 2.5 goals (1.81).
Who will win Valladolid vs Leganés?
We estimate: Valladolid win 48%, draw 27%, Leganés win 24%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 2 November 2026, kick-off: 17:30, venue: Estadio José Zorrilla, Valladolid. Referee: Damaso Arcediano Monescillo.
Who will be missing?
Valladolid: no absences. Leganés: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.15); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 54% (odds 1.81).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 51% (odds 1.87).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.3%), then 1–0 (12.3%) and 2–1 (9.2%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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