Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Las Palmas against Real Sociedad II on 24 October 2026 · 17:30 at Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas), and P. Morales will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Las Palmas are 11th in the table, on 17 points after 12 matches (5W 2D 5L), and Real Sociedad II are 18th, on 11 points (3W 2D 7L).
- Head to head. From 5 meetings: 3 wins for Las Palmas, 0 wins for Real Sociedad II and 2 draws, with the goals at 5–2.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–1 score estimate, roughly 3 goals in all, and 1–1 (11.7%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.46), and we rate it at 66%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 59% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 55% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 5; Las Palmas 3 wins, 2 draws, Real Sociedad II 0 wins.
- An average of 1.4 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 55%.
- Out: Las Palmas 0, Real Sociedad II 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 59%, best price 1.62). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Las Palmas: no absences. Absent for Real Sociedad II: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.25 | 3.59 | 3.33 |
| Market average | 2.19 | 3.46 | 3.13 |
| Lowest odds | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 1.21 | 77.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.78 | 1.72 | 55.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.17 | 2.10 | 45.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.94 | 2.77 | 34.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.58 | 58.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.25 | 41.1% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 14:13. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Las Palmas 1–1 Real Sociedad II, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Las Palmas 11th (17 points), Real Sociedad II 18th (11 points).
- H2H: 5 matches: Las Palmas 3W 2D 0L, goals 5–2.
- Absences: Las Palmas 0, Real Sociedad II 0.
Who will win Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II: team news and absences
Las Palmas
- No reported absences
Real Sociedad II
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 |  Mallorca | 12 | 6-4-2 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 7 |  Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 8 |  Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:15 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 | Las Palmas | 12 | 5-2-5 | 17:21 | 17 |
| 12 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 13 |  Valladolid | 12 | 4-3-5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 11 | 3-5-3 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 17 |  Leganés | 12 | 3-3-6 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 18 | Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 19 |  Cádiz | 12 | 2-4-6 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 20 |  FC Andorra | 11 | 3-1-7 | 15:20 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II?
Real Sociedad II +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.80); Under 3.5 goals (1.46).
Who will win Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II?
We estimate: Las Palmas win 43%, draw 27%, Real Sociedad II win 30%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 17:30, venue: Estadio de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas. Referee: P. Morales.
Who will be missing?
Las Palmas: no absences. Real Sociedad II: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 55% (odds 1.78); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 45% (odds 2.17).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 59% (odds 1.62).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.7%), then 2–1 (9.0%) and 1–0 (9.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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