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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 27 October 2026 · 20:00

Manacor vs Villarreal: prediction, tip and odds, 27 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Manacor
0–5
1Manacor67.00
XDraw18.00
2Villarreal1.04

Best price · Updated 27/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 0–5. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

It is Manacor against Villarreal on 27 October 2026 · 20:00 at Estadio Na Capellera (Manacor). Villarreal (91%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.

Manacor vs Villarreal: tip and prediction
Result
Villarreal to win
1.04
Goals
Over 3.5 goals
1.46
Combo
Villarreal + over 2.5 goals combined
1.32
76% · fair odds for the combo
91%Chance
0–3likely score
≈ 5 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Villarreal (X2): 98% probability, best odds 1.02. With short odds on the result, a goals tip alongside it is our suggestion.

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Manacor vs Villarreal: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Head to head. From 1 meetings: 0 wins for Manacor, 1 win for Villarreal and 0 draws, with the goals at 0–5.

What to expect

For us, Villarreal are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–4 score, roughly 5 goals in all, with 0–3 (12.2%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

Odds of 1.04 on the result do not offer much, so it is worth turning to the goals markets: Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.46), which we rate at 65%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 33% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 79% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 1; Manacor 0 wins, 0 draws, Villarreal 1 win.
  2. An average of 5.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. Expected: roughly 5 goals; over 2.5 goals: 79%.
  4. Out: Manacor 0, Villarreal 0.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 35%, best price 2.89). With roughly 5 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Manacor: no absences. Absent for Villarreal: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Manacor vs Villarreal: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price67.0018.001.04
Market average41.8814.691.03
Lowest odds29.0010.501.02
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.041.0391.6%
Over 2.5 goals1.181.1679.5%
Under 2.5 goals5.004.5320.5%
Over 3.5 goals1.461.4264.7%
BTTS – yes3.042.8232.9%
BTTS – no1.441.3867.1%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.5%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Manacor 0–3 Villarreal, roughly 5 goals in total.
  • H2H: 1 match: Manacor 0W 0D 1L, goals 0–5.
  • Absences: Manacor 0, Villarreal 0.

Who will win Manacor vs Villarreal?

Manacor2%
Draw7%
Villarreal91%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Manacor vs Villarreal: more betting tips

Draw or Villarreal (X2)97.6% · fair odds 1.02 · best 1.02
Likely
Over 1.5 goals91.6% · fair odds 1.09 · best 1.04
Likely
Villarreal to win91.0% · fair odds 1.10 · best 1.04
Likely
Over 2.5 goals79.5% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.18
Likely
BTTS – no67.1% · fair odds 1.49 · best 1.44
Likely
Over 3.5 goals64.7% · fair odds 1.55 · best 1.46
Likely
Under 3.5 goals35.3% · fair odds 2.83 · best 2.89
Outsider
BTTS – yes32.9% · fair odds 3.04 · best 3.04
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals20.5% · fair odds 4.87 · best 5.00
Outsider
Draw6.6% · fair odds 15.14 · best 18.00
Outsider
Manacor to win2.4% · fair odds 41.79 · best 67.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.86 · Under 1.85
probability of over 49.9%

Correct score prediction

0 : 312.2%
0 : 411.1%
0 : 210.0%
0 : 58.1%
1 : 36.7%
1 : 46.1%

Manacor vs Villarreal: team news and absences

Manacor

  • No reported absences

Villarreal

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Head to head

All matches
0Manacor
0Draws
1Villarreal
27/10/26 · Manacor 0–5 Villarreal

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.5%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Manacor vs Villarreal?

Villarreal to win (1.04); Over 3.5 goals (1.46).

Who will win Manacor vs Villarreal?

We estimate: Manacor win 2%, draw 7%, Villarreal win 91%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 27 October 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: Estadio Na Capellera, Manacor.

Who will be missing?

Manacor: no absences. Villarreal: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 79% (odds 1.18); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 21% (odds 5.00).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 33% (odds 3.04).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 0–3 as most likely (12.2%), then 0–4 (11.1%) and 0–2 (10.0%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

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18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.