Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Marítimo against Santa Clara on 1 November 2026 · 18:00 at Estádio do Marítimo (Funchal), and Carlos Macedo will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Marítimo vs Santa Clara: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Marítimo are 14th in the table, on 8 points after 10 matches (2W 2D 6L), and Santa Clara are 4th, on 21 points (6W 3D 1L).
- Attack and defence. On average Marítimo score 1.0 goals a match in the competition and concede 2.1; for Santa Clara the figures are 1.4 scored and 0.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Marítimo: 2W 2D 5L, goals 9–19; Santa Clara: 5W 3D 1L, goals 13–6.
- Head to head. From 14 meetings: 6 wins for Marítimo, 5 wins for Santa Clara and 3 draws, with the goals at 18–16.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 0–1 (13.3%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Over 1.5 goals (odds 1.52), and we rate it at 64%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 46% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 39% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 14; Marítimo 6 wins, 3 draws, Santa Clara 5 wins.
- An average of 2.4 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Marítimo 9–19, Santa Clara 13–6.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 39%.
- Out: Marítimo 0, Santa Clara 0.
Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals
Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals (probability 61%, best price 1.62). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Marítimo: no absences. Absent for Santa Clara: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Marítimo vs Santa Clara: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.35 | 3.18 | 2.48 |
| Market average | 3.18 | 3.03 | 2.35 |
| Lowest odds | 3.10 | 2.88 | 2.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.52 | 1.46 | 64.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.57 | 2.43 | 38.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.62 | 1.54 | 61.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 5.13 | 4.68 | 20.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.05 | 2.00 | 46.4% |
| BTTS – no | 1.82 | 1.73 | 53.6% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 1/11/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.9%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Marítimo 0–1 Santa Clara, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Marítimo 14th (8 points), Santa Clara 4th (21 points).
- Form in the competition: Marítimo 2W 2D 5L (9:19), Santa Clara 5W 3D 1L (13:6).
- H2H: 14 matches: Marítimo 6W 3D 5L, goals 18–16.
- Absences: Marítimo 0, Santa Clara 0.
Who will win Marítimo vs Santa Clara?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Marítimo vs Santa Clara: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Marítimo vs Santa Clara: team news and absences
Marítimo
- No reported absences
Santa Clara
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 10 | 10-0-0 | 25:4 | 30 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 10 | 8-1-1 | 27:8 | 25 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | 6-3-1 | 23:11 | 21 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 10 | 6-3-1 | 15:6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 10 | 6-2-2 | 13:7 | 20 |
| 6 |  Académico Viseu | 10 | 6-2-2 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 10 | 4-3-3 | 8:7 | 15 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 10 | 4-2-4 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Moreirense | 10 | 4-2-4 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 10 | 3-2-5 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Famalicão | 10 | 2-4-4 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 12 |  Estrela | 10 | 2-4-4 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 10 | 2-3-5 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 14 | Marítimo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:19 | 7 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 10 | 2-1-7 | 9:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | 2-1-7 | 5:19 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 10 | 0-2-8 | 5:19 | 2 |
Recent matches
Marítimo
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
MarítimoLLLDLSanta ClaraWLWDWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Marítimo vs Santa Clara?
Santa Clara +0 (Asian handicap) (1.73); Over 1.5 goals (1.52).
Who will win Marítimo vs Santa Clara?
We estimate: Marítimo win 29%, draw 31%, Santa Clara win 40%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 1 November 2026, kick-off: 18:00, venue: Estádio do Marítimo, Funchal. Referee: Carlos Macedo.
Who will be missing?
Marítimo: no absences. Santa Clara: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 39% (odds 2.57); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 61% (odds 1.62).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 46% (odds 2.05).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 0–1 as most likely (13.3%), then 1–1 (13.3%) and 1–0 (11.1%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.