Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Santa Clara v Benfica: 26 October 2026 · 18:45 at Estádio de São Miguel (Ponta Delgada), with C. Pereira refereeing. We have Benfica (70%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Santa Clara vs Benfica: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Santa Clara are 4th in the table, on 21 points after 10 matches (6W 3D 1L), and Benfica are 2nd, on 25 points (8W 1D 1L).
- Attack and defence. On average Santa Clara score 1.5 goals a match in the competition and concede 0.5; for Benfica the figures are 3.0 scored and 0.9 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Santa Clara: 5W 3D 0L, goals 12–4; Benfica: 6W 1D 1L, goals 24–7.
- Head to head. From 16 meetings: 1 win for Santa Clara, 13 wins for Benfica and 2 draws, with the goals at 13–40.
What to expect
For us, Benfica are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 0–2 (12.0%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), and we rate it at 63%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 50% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 59% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 16; Santa Clara 1 win, 2 draws, Benfica 13 wins.
- An average of 3.3 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Santa Clara 12–4, Benfica 24–7.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 59%.
- Out: Santa Clara 0, Benfica 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, best price 1.66). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Santa Clara: no absences. Absent for Benfica: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Santa Clara vs Benfica: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 9.50 | 5.40 | 1.42 |
| Market average | 8.00 | 5.05 | 1.35 |
| Lowest odds | 7.50 | 4.75 | 1.30 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.18 | 79.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.66 | 1.62 | 58.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.38 | 2.28 | 41.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.67 | 2.54 | 36.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.00 | 1.87 | 49.7% |
| BTTS – no | 1.90 | 1.85 | 50.3% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 26/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.5%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Santa Clara 0–2 Benfica, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Santa Clara 4th (21 points), Benfica 2nd (25 points).
- Form in the competition: Santa Clara 5W 3D 0L (12:4), Benfica 6W 1D 1L (24:7).
- H2H: 16 matches: Santa Clara 1W 2D 13L, goals 13–40.
- Absences: Santa Clara 0, Benfica 0.
Who will win Santa Clara vs Benfica?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Santa Clara vs Benfica: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Santa Clara vs Benfica: team news and absences
Santa Clara
- No reported absences
Benfica
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 10 | 10-0-0 | 25:4 | 30 |
| 2 | Benfica | 10 | 8-1-1 | 27:8 | 25 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | 6-3-1 | 23:11 | 21 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 10 | 6-3-1 | 15:6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 10 | 6-2-2 | 13:7 | 20 |
| 6 |  Académico Viseu | 10 | 6-2-2 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 10 | 4-3-3 | 8:7 | 15 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 10 | 4-2-4 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Moreirense | 10 | 4-2-4 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 10 | 3-2-5 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Famalicão | 10 | 2-4-4 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 12 |  Estrela | 10 | 2-4-4 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 10 | 2-3-5 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 14 |  Marítimo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:19 | 7 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 10 | 2-1-7 | 9:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | 2-1-7 | 5:19 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 10 | 0-2-8 | 5:19 | 2 |
Recent matches
Santa Clara
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Santa ClaraWLWDWBenficaWWWLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Santa Clara vs Benfica?
Santa Clara +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.92); Under 3.5 goals (1.53).
Who will win Santa Clara vs Benfica?
We estimate: Santa Clara win 12%, draw 19%, Benfica win 70%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 26 October 2026, kick-off: 18:45, venue: Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada. Referee: C. Pereira.
Who will be missing?
Santa Clara: no absences. Benfica: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.66); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 41% (odds 2.38).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 50% (odds 2.00).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 0–2 as most likely (12.0%), then 0–1 (10.7%) and 1–2 (9.6%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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