Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Moldova v Kazakhstan: 13 November 2026 · 17:00 at Zimbru (Chișinău), with Andrea Colombo refereeing. We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Wins: Kazakhstan win. Half wins (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Kazakhstan lose.
Moldova vs Kazakhstan: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Moldova are 2nd in the table, on 7 points after 5 matches (2W 1D 2L), and Kazakhstan are 4th, on 2 points (0W 2D 3L).
- Attack and defence. On average Moldova score 0.8 goals a match in the competition and concede 2.0; for Kazakhstan the figures are 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Moldova: 1W 1D 2L, goals 3–8; Kazakhstan: 0W 2D 2L, goals 5–7.
- Head to head. From 4 meetings: 2 wins for Moldova, 2 wins for Kazakhstan and 0 draws, with the goals at 4–4.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (13.2%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.65), and we rate it at 59%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 48% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 41% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 4; Moldova 2 wins, 0 draws, Kazakhstan 2 wins.
- An average of 2.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Moldova 3–8, Kazakhstan 5–7.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 41%.
- Out: Moldova 0, Kazakhstan 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – no
Alternative tip: BTTS – no (probability 52%, best price 1.80). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Moldova: no absences. Absent for Kazakhstan: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Moldova vs Kazakhstan: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.43 | 3.20 | 3.44 |
| Market average | 2.32 | 3.09 | 3.24 |
| Lowest odds | 2.15 | 2.90 | 2.94 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.44 | 1.41 | 66.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.39 | 2.31 | 40.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.60 | 59.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.60 | 4.34 | 21.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.00 | 1.94 | 47.7% |
| BTTS – no | 1.80 | 1.77 | 52.3% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 13/11/26, 16:11. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.4%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Moldova 1–1 Kazakhstan, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Moldova 2nd (7 points), Kazakhstan 4th (2 points).
- Form in the competition: Moldova 1W 1D 2L (3:8), Kazakhstan 0W 2D 2L (5:7).
- H2H: 4 matches: Moldova 2W 0D 2L, goals 4–4.
- Absences: Moldova 0, Kazakhstan 0.
Who will win Moldova vs Kazakhstan?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Moldova vs Kazakhstan: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Moldova vs Kazakhstan: team news and absences
Moldova
- No reported absences
Kazakhstan
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
League C – Group C
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slovakia | 4 | 3-1-0 | 9:2 | 10 |
| 2 | Moldova | 5 | 2-1-2 | 5:9 | 7 |
| 3 |  Faroe Islands | 4 | 0-4-0 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 5 | 0-2-3 | 6:9 | 2 |
Recent matches
Moldova
Home and away
Moldova vs Kazakhstan: last matches of both teams
Moldova
Kazakhstan
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
MoldovaWLWDLKazakhstanLDLLDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Moldova vs Kazakhstan?
Kazakhstan +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.91); Under 2.5 goals (1.65).
Who will win Moldova vs Kazakhstan?
We estimate: Moldova win 41%, draw 30%, Kazakhstan win 29%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 13 November 2026, kick-off: 17:00, venue: Zimbru, Chișinău. Referee: Andrea Colombo.
Who will be missing?
Moldova: no absences. Kazakhstan: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 41% (odds 2.39); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 59% (odds 1.65).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 48% (odds 2.00).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (13.2%), then 1–0 (12.5%) and 0–1 (10.5%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.