Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Montenegro v Latvia: 12 November 2026 · 19:45 at Gradski Stadion (Podgorica), with Jérôme Brisard refereeing. We have Montenegro (75%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Wins: Montenegro win by 2 or more. Loses: Montenegro win by 1, a draw, Montenegro lose.
Montenegro vs Latvia: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Montenegro are 1st in the table, on 13 points after 5 matches (4W 1D 0L), and Latvia are 4th, on 1 point (0W 1D 4L).
- Attack and defence. On average Montenegro score 1.8 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.0; for Latvia the figures are 0.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Montenegro: 3W 1D 0L, goals 7–4; Latvia: 0W 1D 3L, goals 2–6.
- Head to head. From 5 meetings: 3 wins for Montenegro, 0 wins for Latvia and 2 draws, with the goals at 7–4.
What to expect
For us, Montenegro are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–0 (15.5%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
Odds of 1.28 on the result do not offer much, so it is worth turning to the goals markets: BTTS: no (odds 1.57), which we rate at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 38% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 53% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 5; Montenegro 3 wins, 2 draws, Latvia 0 wins.
- An average of 2.2 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Montenegro 7–4, Latvia 2–6.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 53%.
- Out: Montenegro 0, Latvia 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – no
Alternative tip: BTTS – no (probability 62%, best price 1.57). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Montenegro: no absences. Absent for Latvia: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Montenegro vs Latvia: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.28 | 6.11 | 13.50 |
| Market average | 1.25 | 5.61 | 11.91 |
| Lowest odds | 1.20 | 4.54 | 7.53 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.24 | 75.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.84 | 1.79 | 52.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.05 | 2.00 | 47.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.03 | 2.95 | 31.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.50 | 2.43 | 38.2% |
| BTTS – no | 1.57 | 1.50 | 61.8% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 12/11/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.6%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Montenegro 2–0 Latvia, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Montenegro 1st (13 points), Latvia 4th (1 point).
- Form in the competition: Montenegro 3W 1D 0L (7:4), Latvia 0W 1D 3L (2:6).
- H2H: 5 matches: Montenegro 3W 2D 0L, goals 7–4.
- Absences: Montenegro 0, Latvia 0.
Who will win Montenegro vs Latvia?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Montenegro vs Latvia: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Montenegro vs Latvia: team news and absences
Montenegro
- No reported absences
Latvia
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
League C – Group B
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montenegro | 5 | 4-1-0 | 9:5 | 13 |
| 2 |  Cyprus | 5 | 2-2-1 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 3 |  Armenia | 5 | 1-2-2 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 4 | Latvia | 5 | 0-1-4 | 3:8 | 1 |
Recent matches
Montenegro
Home and away
Montenegro vs Latvia: last matches of both teams
Montenegro
Latvia
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
MontenegroWDWWWLatviaLLLDLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Montenegro vs Latvia?
Montenegro -1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.92); BTTS: no (1.57).
Who will win Montenegro vs Latvia?
We estimate: Montenegro win 75%, draw 17%, Latvia win 8%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 12 November 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Gradski Stadion, Podgorica. Referee: Jérôme Brisard.
Who will be missing?
Montenegro: no absences. Latvia: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.84); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 47% (odds 2.05).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 38% (odds 2.50).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–0 as most likely (15.5%), then 1–0 (14.1%) and 3–0 (11.3%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.