Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Örgryte IS against Mjällby AIF on 29 October 2026 · 18:00 at Gamla Ullevi (Gothenburg), and Sajad Al Hakim will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Örgryte IS are 15th in the table, on 19 points after 27 matches (4W 7D 16L), and Mjällby AIF are 12th, on 27 points (6W 9D 12L).
- Attack and defence. On average Örgryte IS score 1.2 goals a match in the competition and concede 2.2; for Mjällby AIF the figures are 1.1 scored and 1.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Örgryte IS: 4W 7D 14L, goals 31–56; Mjällby AIF: 5W 8D 12L, goals 28–42.
- Head to head. From 5 meetings: 1 win for Örgryte IS, 3 wins for Mjällby AIF and 1 draw, with the goals at 5–8.
What to expect
For us, Mjällby AIF are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (12.1%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.79), and we rate it at 56%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 56% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 51% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 5; Örgryte IS 1 win, 1 draw, Mjällby AIF 3 wins.
- An average of 2.6 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Örgryte IS 31–56, Mjällby AIF 28–42.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 51%.
- Out: Örgryte IS 4, Mjällby AIF 2.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 56%, best price 1.79). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Örgryte IS: A. Abukar, R. Alm, W. Svensson, J. Tibbling. Absent for Mjällby AIF: V. Dalsgaard, T. Stavitski. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.27 | 3.54 | 2.29 |
| Market average | 3.11 | 3.42 | 2.18 |
| Lowest odds | 2.81 | 3.16 | 2.10 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.25 | 74.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.99 | 1.84 | 51.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.01 | 1.94 | 48.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.37 | 3.07 | 30.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.79 | 1.66 | 56.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.12 | 43.9% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 29/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.5%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Örgryte IS 1–1 Mjällby AIF, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Örgryte IS 15th (19 points), Mjällby AIF 12th (27 points).
- Form in the competition: Örgryte IS 4W 7D 14L (31:56), Mjällby AIF 5W 8D 12L (28:42).
- H2H: 5 matches: Örgryte IS 1W 1D 3L, goals 5–8.
- Absences: Örgryte IS 4, Mjällby AIF 2.
Who will win Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF: team news and absences
Örgryte IS
- A. Abukarknee injury · will miss the match
- R. Alminjury · will miss the match
- W. Svenssonfoot injury · will miss the match
- J. Tibblingmuscle injury · doubtful
Mjällby AIF
- V. Dalsgaardinjury · will miss the match
- T. Stavitskiback injury · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sirius | 27 | 18-4-5 | 58:34 | 58 |
| 2 |  Hammarby FF | 27 | 17-4-6 | 56:22 | 55 |
| 3 |  Djurgårdens IF | 27 | 16-4-7 | 55:25 | 52 |
| 4 |  BK Häcken | 27 | 13-10-4 | 48:30 | 49 |
| 5 |  IF Elfsborg | 27 | 12-10-5 | 41:27 | 46 |
| 6 |  Västerås SK FK | 27 | 13-5-9 | 40:38 | 44 |
| 7 |  Malmö FF | 27 | 12-4-11 | 42:36 | 40 |
| 8 |  AIK Stockholm | 27 | 10-8-9 | 43:47 | 38 |
| 9 |  IFK Göteborg | 27 | 10-8-9 | 36:46 | 38 |
| 10 |  Gais | 27 | 10-7-10 | 34:27 | 37 |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9-7-11 | 39:44 | 34 |
| 12 | Mjällby AIF | 27 | 6-9-12 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 27 | 6-5-16 | 23:42 | 23 |
| 14 |  Degerfors IF | 27 | 5-5-17 | 22:46 | 20 |
| 15 | Örgryte IS | 27 | 4-7-16 | 33:60 | 19 |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 27 | 4-5-18 | 18:51 | 17 |
Recent matches
Örgryte IS
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Örgryte ISLLDWLMjällby AIFDWLLDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF?
Over 2.5 goals (1.99); Draw or Mjällby AIF (X2) (1.39).
Who will win Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF?
We estimate: Örgryte IS win 30%, draw 27%, Mjällby AIF win 43%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 29 October 2026, kick-off: 18:00, venue: Gamla Ullevi, Gothenburg. Referee: Sajad Al Hakim.
Who will be missing?
Örgryte IS: A. Abukar, R. Alm, W. Svensson, J. Tibbling. Mjällby AIF: V. Dalsgaard, T. Stavitski. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.99); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 49% (odds 2.01).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 56% (odds 1.79).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.1%), then 0–1 (10.1%) and 1–2 (9.1%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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