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Allsvenskan · Matchweek 24 · 18 October 2026 · 13:00

Västerås SK FK vs Mjällby AIF: prediction, tip and odds, 18 October 2026, Allsvenskan

1Västerås SK FK2.41
XDraw3.46
2Mjällby AIF2.96

Best price · Updated 18/10/26, 08:05

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Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

It is Västerås SK FK against Mjällby AIF on 18 October 2026 · 13:00 at Hitachi Energy Arena (Westeros), and Fredrik Klitte will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.

Västerås SK FK vs Mjällby AIF: tip and prediction
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.85
Result (even match)
Västerås SK FK or draw (1X)
1.40
53%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Västerås SK FK vs Mjällby AIF: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Västerås SK FK are 6th in the table, on 44 points after 27 matches (13W 5D 9L), and Mjällby AIF are 12th, on 27 points (6W 9D 12L).
  2. Head to head. From 7 meetings: 2 wins for Västerås SK FK, 3 wins for Mjällby AIF and 2 draws, with the goals at 7–9.

What to expect

We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.1%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.67), and we rate it at 57%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 57% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 53% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 7; Västerås SK FK 2 wins, 2 draws, Mjällby AIF 3 wins.
  2. An average of 2.3 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 53%.
  4. Out: Västerås SK FK 0, Mjällby AIF 0.

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 57%, best price 1.67). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Västerås SK FK: no absences. Absent for Mjällby AIF: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Västerås SK FK vs Mjällby AIF: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price2.413.462.96
Market average2.353.362.85
Lowest odds2.253.202.80
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.261.2375.2%
Over 2.5 goals1.851.7952.6%
Under 2.5 goals2.011.9847.4%
Over 3.5 goals3.092.9131.8%
BTTS – yes1.671.6257.3%
BTTS – no2.252.1842.7%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 18/10/26, 08:05. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.4%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Västerås SK FK 1–1 Mjällby AIF, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Västerås SK FK 6th (44 points), Mjällby AIF 12th (27 points).
  • H2H: 7 matches: Västerås SK FK 2W 2D 3L, goals 7–9.
  • Absences: Västerås SK FK 0, Mjällby AIF 0.

Who will win Västerås SK FK vs Mjällby AIF?

Västerås SK FK40%
Draw28%
Mjällby AIF33%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Västerås SK FK vs Mjällby AIF: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals75.2% · fair odds 1.33 · best 1.26
Likely
Under 3.5 goals68.2% · fair odds 1.47 · best 1.38
Likely
Västerås SK FK or draw (1X)67.3% · fair odds 1.49 · best 1.40
Likely
BTTS – yes57.3% · fair odds 1.74 · best 1.67
Possible
Over 2.5 goals52.6% · fair odds 1.90 · best 1.85
Possible
Under 2.5 goals47.4% · fair odds 2.11 · best 2.01
Outsider
BTTS – no42.7% · fair odds 2.34 · best 2.25
Outsider
Västerås SK FK to win39.6% · fair odds 2.53 · best 2.41
Outsider
Mjällby AIF to win32.7% · fair odds 3.06 · best 2.96
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals31.8% · fair odds 3.14 · best 3.09
Outsider
Draw27.7% · fair odds 3.61 · best 3.46
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.84 · Under 1.89
probability of over 50.7%

Correct score prediction

1 : 112.1%
1 : 09.3%
2 : 18.7%
0 : 18.3%
1 : 27.8%
2 : 06.7%

Västerås SK FK vs Mjällby AIF: team news and absences

Västerås SK FK

  • No reported absences

Mjällby AIF

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Sirius2718-4-558:3458
2Hammarby FF2717-4-656:2255
3Djurgårdens IF2716-4-755:2552
4BK Häcken2713-10-448:3049
5IF Elfsborg2712-10-541:2746
6Västerås SK FK2713-5-940:3844
7Malmö FF2712-4-1142:3640
8AIK Stockholm2710-8-943:4738
9IFK Göteborg2710-8-936:4638
10Gais2710-7-1034:2737
11IF Brommapojkarna279-7-1139:4434
12Mjällby AIF276-9-1230:4327
13Kalmar FF276-5-1623:4223
14Degerfors IF275-5-1722:4620
15Örgryte IS274-7-1633:6019
16Halmstad274-5-1818:5117

Recent matches

Västerås SK FK

1 NovWVästerås SK FK 1–0 IF Brommapojkarna
28 OctWDegerfors IF 0–3 Västerås SK FK
23 OctLVästerås SK FK 1–2 Halmstad
18 OctWVästerås SK FK 1–0 Mjällby AIF
9 OctLIFK Göteborg 1–0 Västerås SK FK

Mjällby AIF

2 NovDMjällby AIF 0–0 Kalmar FF
29 OctWÖrgryte IS 1–2 Mjällby AIF
25 OctLMjällby AIF 0–2 Hammarby FF
22 OctDFC Iberia 1999 1–1 Mjällby AIF
18 OctLVästerås SK FK 1–0 Mjällby AIF

Home and away

Västerås SK FK at home14 matches: 6W 4D 4L, goals 20–15
Mjällby AIF away13 matches: 3W 6D 4L, goals 18–22

Head to head

All matches
2Västerås SK FK
2Draws
3Mjällby AIF
18/10/26 · Västerås SK FK 1–0 Mjällby AIF
17/7/26 · Mjällby AIF 0–0 Västerås SK FK
5/10/24 · Mjällby AIF 2–1 Västerås SK FK
25/4/24 · Västerås SK FK 2–1 Mjällby AIF
25/2/24 · Mjällby AIF 2–0 Västerås SK FK
19/10/19 · Västerås SK FK 2–2 Mjällby AIF

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.4%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Västerås SK FK vs Mjällby AIF?

Over 2.5 goals (1.85); Västerås SK FK or draw (1X) (1.40).

Who will win Västerås SK FK vs Mjällby AIF?

We estimate: Västerås SK FK win 40%, draw 28%, Mjällby AIF win 33%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 18 October 2026, kick-off: 13:00, venue: Hitachi Energy Arena, Westeros. Referee: Fredrik Klitte.

Who will be missing?

Västerås SK FK: no absences. Mjällby AIF: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.85); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 47% (odds 2.01).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 57% (odds 1.67).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.1%), then 1–0 (9.3%) and 2–1 (8.7%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg 6 NovÖrgryte IS vs Västerås SK FK 7 NovDegerfors IF vs Gais 7 NovIFK Göteborg vs Malmö FF 8 NovHalmstad vs Djurgårdens IF 8 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.