Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Rio Ave play Famalicão at home on 25 October 2026 · 18:00 at Estádio dos Arcos (Vila do Conde); the referee is H. Carvalho. For us, there is no clear favourite. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Rio Ave vs Famalicão: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Rio Ave are 16th in the table, on 7 points after 10 matches (2W 1D 7L), and Famalicão are 11th, on 10 points (2W 4D 4L).
- Attack and defence. On average Rio Ave score 1.0 goals a match in the competition and concede 2.1; for Famalicão the figures are 1.3 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Rio Ave: 2W 1D 5L, goals 8–17; Famalicão: 1W 4D 3L, goals 10–11.
- Head to head. From 14 meetings: 1 win for Rio Ave, 5 wins for Famalicão and 8 draws, with the goals at 10–17.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.5%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.80), and we rate it at 53%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 53% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 48% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 14; Rio Ave 1 win, 8 draws, Famalicão 5 wins.
- An average of 1.9 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Rio Ave 8–17, Famalicão 10–11.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 48%.
- Out: Rio Ave 0, Famalicão 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 53%, best price 1.80). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Rio Ave: no absences. Absent for Famalicão: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Rio Ave vs Famalicão: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.66 | 3.46 | 2.18 |
| Market average | 3.48 | 3.30 | 2.09 |
| Lowest odds | 3.11 | 3.10 | 2.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.33 | 1.30 | 72.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.05 | 1.97 | 48.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.90 | 1.83 | 51.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.50 | 3.34 | 28.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.74 | 53.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 2.00 | 46.6% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 25/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.1%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Rio Ave 1–1 Famalicão, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Rio Ave 16th (7 points), Famalicão 11th (10 points).
- Form in the competition: Rio Ave 2W 1D 5L (8:17), Famalicão 1W 4D 3L (10:11).
- H2H: 14 matches: Rio Ave 1W 8D 5L, goals 10–17.
- Absences: Rio Ave 0, Famalicão 0.
Who will win Rio Ave vs Famalicão?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Rio Ave vs Famalicão: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Rio Ave vs Famalicão: team news and absences
Rio Ave
- No reported absences
Famalicão
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 10 | 10-0-0 | 25:4 | 30 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 10 | 8-1-1 | 27:8 | 25 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | 6-3-1 | 23:11 | 21 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 10 | 6-3-1 | 15:6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 10 | 6-2-2 | 13:7 | 20 |
| 6 |  Académico Viseu | 10 | 6-2-2 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 10 | 4-3-3 | 8:7 | 15 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 10 | 4-2-4 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Moreirense | 10 | 4-2-4 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 10 | 3-2-5 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 11 | Famalicão | 10 | 2-4-4 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 12 |  Estrela | 10 | 2-4-4 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 10 | 2-3-5 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 14 |  Marítimo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:19 | 7 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 10 | 2-1-7 | 9:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | 2-1-7 | 5:19 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 10 | 0-2-8 | 5:19 | 2 |
Recent matches
Rio Ave
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Rio AveLLWLDFamalicãoLWLWDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Rio Ave vs Famalicão?
Famalicão -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.87); Both teams to score (1.80).
Who will win Rio Ave vs Famalicão?
We estimate: Rio Ave win 27%, draw 28%, Famalicão win 45%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 25 October 2026, kick-off: 18:00, venue: Estádio dos Arcos, Vila do Conde. Referee: H. Carvalho.
Who will be missing?
Rio Ave: no absences. Famalicão: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 48% (odds 2.05); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 52% (odds 1.90).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 53% (odds 1.80).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.5%), then 0–1 (11.3%) and 1–2 (9.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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