Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Sligo Rovers against Derry City on 30 October 2026 · 19:45 at Showgrounds (Sligo), and D. Toland will referee. Derry City (60%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Sligo Rovers are 10th in the table, on 25 points after 36 matches (5W 10D 21L), and Derry City are 5th, on 48 points (11W 15D 10L).
- Attack and defence. On average Sligo Rovers score 0.7 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.8; for Derry City the figures are 1.4 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Sligo Rovers: 5W 9D 21L, goals 26–64; Derry City: 11W 14D 10L, goals 48–45.
- Head to head. From 34 meetings: 9 wins for Sligo Rovers, 14 wins for Derry City and 11 draws, with the goals at 30–40.
What to expect
For us, Derry City are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.2%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 64%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 54% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 57% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 34; Sligo Rovers 9 wins, 11 draws, Derry City 14 wins.
- An average of 2.1 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Sligo Rovers 26–64, Derry City 48–45.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 57%.
- Out: Sligo Rovers 0, Derry City 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals (probability 57%, best price 1.67). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Sligo Rovers: no absences. Absent for Derry City: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 5.59 | 4.42 | 1.57 |
| Market average | 5.12 | 4.16 | 1.55 |
| Lowest odds | 4.73 | 3.73 | 1.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.18 | 78.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.64 | 57.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.28 | 2.20 | 42.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.67 | 2.56 | 36.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.71 | 54.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.03 | 45.8% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 30/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 8.4%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Sligo Rovers 1–1 Derry City, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Sligo Rovers 10th (25 points), Derry City 5th (48 points).
- Form in the competition: Sligo Rovers 5W 9D 21L (26:64), Derry City 11W 14D 10L (48:45).
- H2H: 34 matches: Sligo Rovers 9W 11D 14L, goals 30–40.
- Absences: Sligo Rovers 0, Derry City 0.
Who will win Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City: team news and absences
Sligo Rovers
- No reported absences
Derry City
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Shamrock Rovers | 36 | 20-8-8 | 59:38 | 68 |
| 2 |  Bohemians | 36 | 19-8-9 | 63:44 | 65 |
| 3 |  St Patrick's Athletic | 36 | 17-9-10 | 55:31 | 60 |
| 4 |  Shelbourne | 36 | 12-13-11 | 52:50 | 49 |
| 5 | Derry City | 36 | 11-15-10 | 50:47 | 48 |
| 6 |  Dundalk | 36 | 11-12-13 | 55:59 | 45 |
| 7 |  Waterford | 36 | 10-13-13 | 54:61 | 43 |
| 8 |  Galway United | 36 | 10-12-14 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 9 |  Drogheda United | 36 | 10-10-16 | 44:57 | 40 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 36 | 5-10-21 | 28:66 | 25 |
Recent matches
Sligo Rovers
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Sligo RoversDLDLLDerry CityDWWLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
Sligo Rovers +1 (Asian handicap) (1.93); Under 3.5 goals (1.50).
Who will win Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
We estimate: Sligo Rovers win 18%, draw 22%, Derry City win 60%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 30 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Showgrounds, Sligo. Referee: D. Toland.
Who will be missing?
Sligo Rovers: no absences. Derry City: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 57% (odds 1.67); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 43% (odds 2.28).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 54% (odds 1.75).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.2%), then 0–1 (10.2%) and 1–2 (10.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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