Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Gillingham against Grimsby on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham), and S. Mulhall will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Gillingham vs Grimsby: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Gillingham are 8th in the table, on 20 points after 14 matches (5W 5D 4L), and Grimsby are 6th, on 20 points (5W 5D 4L).
- Head to head. From 9 meetings: 1 win for Gillingham, 5 wins for Grimsby and 3 draws, with the goals at 7–16.
What to expect
For us, Grimsby are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (11.9%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.67), and we rate it at 57%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 57% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 53% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 9; Gillingham 1 win, 3 draws, Grimsby 5 wins.
- An average of 2.6 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 53%.
- Out: Gillingham 0, Grimsby 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 57%, best price 1.67). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Gillingham: no absences. Absent for Grimsby: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Gillingham vs Grimsby: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.40 | 3.55 | 2.18 |
| Market average | 3.28 | 3.42 | 2.13 |
| Lowest odds | 3.15 | 3.25 | 2.07 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.22 | 75.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.80 | 1.78 | 52.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.04 | 1.98 | 47.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.94 | 31.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.63 | 57.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.16 | 42.9% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 13:59. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.8%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Gillingham 1–1 Grimsby, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Gillingham 8th (20 points), Grimsby 6th (20 points).
- H2H: 9 matches: Gillingham 1W 3D 5L, goals 7–16.
- Absences: Gillingham 0, Grimsby 0.
Who will win Gillingham vs Grimsby?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Gillingham vs Grimsby: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Gillingham vs Grimsby: team news and absences
Gillingham
- No reported absences
Grimsby
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4-3-7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Gillingham vs Grimsby?
Gillingham +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.74); Both teams to score (1.67).
Who will win Gillingham vs Grimsby?
We estimate: Gillingham win 29%, draw 27%, Grimsby win 44%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 15:00, venue: Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham. Referee: S. Mulhall.
Who will be missing?
Gillingham: no absences. Grimsby: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.80); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 47% (odds 2.04).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 57% (odds 1.67).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.9%), then 0–1 (9.9%) and 1–2 (9.2%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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