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UEFA Champions League · league phase, matchday 4 · 4 November 2026 · 20:00

Slavia Praha vs Arsenal: prediction, tip and odds, 4 November 2026, UEFA Champions League

1–2
1Slavia Praha14.00
XDraw6.90
2Arsenal1.27

Best price · Updated 4/11/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Slavia Praha vs Arsenal: tip and prediction
Our tip
Arsenal -1.5 Asian handicap
1.86

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Slavia Praha vs Arsenal betting prediction

Slavia Prague vs Arsenal Prediction: Arsenal -1.5 Handicap

Our chosen bet for the Slavia Prague – Arsenal clash is the Gunners on the -1.5 Asian handicap at 1.855. This requires Arsenal to win by at least two goals away from home at the Sinobo Stadium.

Arsenal come into the game as Premier League leaders, having extended their lead with a 1‑0 victory at Anfield. In the Champions League they are unbeaten, holding seven points from nine and conceding only two goals, which is the joint‑best defensive record in the group stage.

Slavia have enjoyed a good run in the Czech league, remaining unbeaten in five matches and delivering a 5‑0 win over Jablonec. However, their European form is poor, with 18 straight UEFA matches without a win, and they have never defeated Arsenal, losing 3‑0 at home in the previous group‑stage meeting.

With key attacker Lukáš Provod doubtful, Tomáš Chory excluded by the coach, and Arsenal still possessing greater squad depth despite the absences of Bukayo Saka and William Saliba, the -1.5 handicap at 1.855 is our recommendation.

Match Details

Slavia Prague host Arsenal on Wednesday, 4 November 2026, in the fourth round of the Champions League group stage. Kick‑off is at 21:00 local time at the Sinobo Stadium, Prague.

In the United Kingdom the match is available on TNT Sports, with streaming via HBO Max. Paramount+ carries it in the United States and DAZN in Canada. Broadcast arrangements can differ by region, so check local listings.

Betting Odds and Suggested Market

Arsenal are strong favourites to win, making the -1.5 Asian handicap at 1.855 an attractive option. The bet pays in full if Arsenal win by a two‑goal margin, a result they have frequently achieved against teams of Slavia’s calibre.

The Gunners’ defensive solidity – only two goals conceded in three European matches – also supports a clean‑sheet scenario, but we prefer the pure handicap market.

Current Form

Domestically, Slavia are in good shape, unbeaten in their last five league games and currently leading the Czech First League. Their European campaign, however, yields just one point from three matches.

Arsenal have responded to a recent domestic cup disappointment with a 1‑0 win at Anfield, maintaining their Premier League lead. In Europe they remain unbeaten and sit comfortably in the top eight of the group.

Key Pre‑Match Statistics

  • Slavia have failed to win in their last 18 UEFA fixtures.
  • Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 18 Champions League matches (excluding penalty shoot‑outs).
  • Arsenal have won all five previous meetings with Slavia, including a 3‑0 victory in Prague last season.

Head‑to‑Head History

Slavia have never beaten Arsenal in their five encounters, the most recent being a 3‑0 win for Arsenal in Prague during the previous group stage. The balance of power has not shifted since those meetings.

Team News

Arsenal are missing Bukayo Saka (thigh injury) and William Saliba (back injury). Other regulars such as Declan Rice, Noni Madueke, Riccardo Calafiori and Christos Tzolis are available, and Max Dowman, suspended in domestic competition, can play in Europe.

Slavia face a longer list of absences: Lukáš Provod is doubtful, Tomáš Chory is out by the coach’s decision, Ivan Schranz is dealing with health problems, and several defenders are unavailable due to injury or illness.

Slavia Praha vs Arsenal: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price14.006.901.27
Market average13.046.371.23
Lowest odds12.005.801.22
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.231.2078.1%
Over 2.5 goals1.741.6956.4%
Under 2.5 goals2.272.1943.6%
Over 3.5 goals2.752.6935.1%
BTTS – yes2.502.3639.6%
BTTS – no1.621.5460.4%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 4/11/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.4%.

All bookmakers →

At a glance

  • Likely result: Slavia Praha 0–2 Arsenal, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Slavia Praha 34th (1 point), Arsenal 3rd (10 points).
  • Form in the competition: Slavia Praha 0W 1D 2L (4:7), Arsenal 2W 1D 0L (6:2).
  • H2H: 3 matches: Slavia Praha 0W 1D 2L, goals 1–8.
  • Absences: Slavia Praha 8, Arsenal 1.

Who will win Slavia Praha vs Arsenal?

Slavia Praha7%
Draw15%
Arsenal78%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Slavia Praha vs Arsenal: more betting tips

Draw or Arsenal (X2)92.6% · fair odds 1.08 · best 1.06
Likely
Over 1.5 goals78.1% · fair odds 1.28 · best 1.23
Likely
Arsenal to win77.6% · fair odds 1.29 · best 1.27
Likely
Under 3.5 goals64.9% · fair odds 1.54 · best 1.50
Likely
BTTS – no60.4% · fair odds 1.65 · best 1.62
Likely
Over 2.5 goals56.4% · fair odds 1.77 · best 1.74
Possible
Under 2.5 goals43.6% · fair odds 2.29 · best 2.27
Outsider
BTTS – yes39.6% · fair odds 2.53 · best 2.50
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals35.1% · fair odds 2.85 · best 2.75
Outsider
Draw15.1% · fair odds 6.64 · best 6.90
Outsider
Slavia Praha to win7.4% · fair odds 13.58 · best 14.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.00 · Under 1.78
probability of over 47.0%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 2.25 · Under 1.59
probability of over 41.4%

Correct score prediction

0 : 215.2%
0 : 112.9%
0 : 311.9%
1 : 28.4%
1 : 17.1%
0 : 47.0%

Slavia Praha vs Arsenal: team news and absences

Slavia Praha

  • T. Choryabsence · will miss the match
  • H. Kantenot in the squad · will miss the match
  • O. Kolarnot in the squad · will miss the match
  • I. OgbuAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
  • A. Ouandainjury · will miss the match
  • I. Schranzillness · will miss the match
  • S. Isifeillness · doubtful
  • E. Pitakabsence · doubtful

Arsenal

  • B. Sakathigh injury · will miss the match

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain44-0-020:512
2Real Madrid44-0-013:712
3Arsenal43-1-08:310
4Como43-0-119:69
5Barcelona43-0-114:69
6Aston Villa43-0-112:69
7Manchester City43-0-112:79
8Liverpool43-0-114:109
9Club Brugge KV43-0-111:79
10Sporting CP43-0-18:49
11Real Betis43-0-18:69
12Borussia Dortmund43-0-17:59
13Bayern München42-2-012:58
14VfB Stuttgart42-1-17:47
15Inter42-0-28:66
16Lask Linz42-0-210:96
17Manchester United42-0-28:86
18Galatasaray42-0-28:96
19Fenerbahçe41-2-16:115
20AS Roma41-1-210:84
21Shakhtar Donetsk41-1-24:44
22Viking41-1-29:104
23Atlético Madrid41-1-24:54
24PSV Eindhoven41-1-23:44
25Bodø/Glimt41-1-24:94
26FC Porto41-0-36:73
27Napoli41-0-36:113
28Villarreal41-0-38:143
29AEK Athens FC41-0-35:113
30RB Leipzig41-0-35:113
31Sabah FA41-0-34:103
32Feyenoord41-0-34:113
33Lens41-0-34:163
34Slavia Praha40-1-35:91
35Lille40-1-34:101
36Slovan Bratislava40-0-41:170

Recent matches

Slavia Praha

4 NovLSlavia Praha 1–2 Arsenal
31 OctWFK Jablonec 0–5 Slavia Praha
24 OctDSlavia Praha 1–1 Mladá Boleslav
20 OctDFenerbahçe 2–2 Slavia Praha
17 OctDSlavia Praha 0–0 Hradec Králové

Arsenal

4 NovWSlavia Praha 1–2 Arsenal
1 NovWLiverpool 0–1 Arsenal
24 OctWArsenal 2–0 Everton
21 OctDBayern München 2–2 Arsenal
18 OctWNottingham Forest 0–1 Arsenal

Home and away

Slavia Praha at home2 matches: 0W 0D 2L, goals 3–5
Arsenal away3 matches: 2W 1D 0L, goals 5–3

Team comparison

Slavia PrahaArsenal
13%Form88%
40%Attack60%
22%Defence78%
13%Head to head88%
11%Goals89%
20.3%Overall80.0%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Form in the competition

Slavia PrahaLDLL
ArsenalWDWW

Head to head

All matches
0Slavia Praha
1Draws
2Arsenal
4/11/25 · Slavia Praha 0–3 Arsenal
15/4/21 · Slavia Praha 0–4 Arsenal
8/4/21 · Arsenal 1–1 Slavia Praha

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.4%

Questions and answers

When is the match?

Wednesday, 4 November 2026, kick‑off at 21:00 CET CET, Sinobo Stadium, Prague.

What is the prediction?

Arsenal -1.5 Asian handicap at 1.855, requiring a two‑goal away win.

Does Slavia have a chance?

While their domestic form is strong, the long European winless streak and the historic head‑to‑head record heavily favour Arsenal, making an upset unlikely.

What do we tip for Slavia Praha vs Arsenal?

Arsenal -1.5 Asian handicap (1.86)

Who will win Slavia Praha vs Arsenal?

We estimate: Slavia Praha win 7%, draw 15%, Arsenal win 78%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 4 November 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: Sinobo Stadium, Prague. Referee: Tobias Stieler.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 56% (odds 1.74); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 44% (odds 2.27).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 40% (odds 2.50).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 0–2 as most likely (15.2%), then 0–1 (12.9%) and 0–3 (11.9%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.