Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Nottingham Forest v Arsenal: 18 October 2026 · 16:30 at City Ground (Nottingham), with Michael Oliver, England refereeing. We have Arsenal (58%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Nottingham Forest are 19th in the table, on 6 points after 9 matches (1W 3D 5L), and Arsenal are 1st, on 24 points (8W 0D 1L).
What to expect
For us, Arsenal are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 0–1 (12.1%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.90), and we rate it at 52%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 51% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 52% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 52%.
- Out: Nottingham Forest 0, Arsenal 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 51%, best price 1.86). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Nottingham Forest: no absences. Absent for Arsenal: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 5.96 | 4.00 | 1.68 |
| Market average | 5.61 | 3.89 | 1.63 |
| Lowest odds | 5.00 | 3.75 | 1.57 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.25 | 75.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.90 | 1.84 | 52.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.05 | 2.00 | 48.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.20 | 3.03 | 31.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.86 | 1.83 | 50.8% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.89 | 49.2% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 18/10/26, 13:08. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.0%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Nottingham Forest 0–1 Arsenal, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Nottingham Forest 19th (6 points), Arsenal 1st (24 points).
- Absences: Nottingham Forest 0, Arsenal 0.
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: team news and absences
Nottingham Forest
- No reported absences
Arsenal
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 |  Everton | 9 | 3-4-2 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 |  Newcastle | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?
Nottingham Forest +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.56); Over 2.5 goals (1.90).
Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?
We estimate: Nottingham Forest win 17%, draw 24%, Arsenal win 58%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 18 October 2026, kick-off: 16:30, venue: City Ground, Nottingham. Referee: Michael Oliver, England.
Who will be missing?
Nottingham Forest: no absences. Arsenal: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.90); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 48% (odds 2.05).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 51% (odds 1.86).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 0–1 as most likely (12.1%), then 0–2 (10.9%) and 1–1 (10.9%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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