Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
SV Darmstadt 98 v FC St. Pauli: 23 October 2026 · 17:30 at Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor (Darmstadt), with Timo Gansloweit, Germany refereeing. We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. SV Darmstadt 98 are 16th in the table, on 9 points after 10 matches (2W 3D 5L), and FC St. Pauli are 8th, on 12 points (2W 6D 2L).
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–2 score estimate, roughly 3 goals in all, and 1–1 (11.9%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), and we rate it at 68%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 58% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 53% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 53%.
- Out: SV Darmstadt 98 0, FC St. Pauli 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 58%, best price 1.67). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for SV Darmstadt 98: no absences. Absent for FC St. Pauli: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.06 | 3.58 | 2.34 |
| Market average | 2.96 | 3.42 | 2.28 |
| Lowest odds | 2.80 | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.22 | 76.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.82 | 1.77 | 53.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.17 | 2.02 | 46.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.89 | 32.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.61 | 57.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.18 | 42.5% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 23/10/26, 14:03. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.9%.
At a glance
- Likely result: SV Darmstadt 98 1–1 FC St. Pauli, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: SV Darmstadt 98 16th (9 points), FC St. Pauli 8th (12 points).
- Absences: SV Darmstadt 98 0, FC St. Pauli 0.
Who will win SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli: team news and absences
SV Darmstadt 98
- No reported absences
FC St. Pauli
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 10 | 9-1-0 | 23:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  1. FC Nürnberg | 10 | 6-3-1 | 24:13 | 21 |
| 3 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 10 | 5-4-1 | 25:14 | 19 |
| 4 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 10 | 5-3-2 | 9:7 | 18 |
| 5 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 10 | 5-2-3 | 21:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 10 | 4-3-3 | 17:18 | 15 |
| 7 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 10 | 4-2-4 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 8 | FC St. Pauli | 10 | 2-6-2 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 9 |  SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 10 |  VfL Osnabrück | 10 | 3-2-5 | 14:17 | 11 |
| 11 |  VfL Bochum | 10 | 3-2-5 | 8:11 | 11 |
| 12 |  Hannover 96 | 10 | 3-2-5 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 13 |  Karlsruher SC | 10 | 3-2-5 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 14 |  Energie Cottbus | 10 | 2-4-4 | 18:20 | 10 |
| 15 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 10 | 3-1-6 | 16:18 | 10 |
| 16 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 10 | 2-3-5 | 9:19 | 9 |
| 17 |  Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1-5-4 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 18 |  Dynamo Dresden | 10 | 2-2-6 | 12:20 | 8 |
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SV Darmstadt 98
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli?
SV Darmstadt 98 or draw (1X) (1.70); Under 3.5 goals (1.47).
Who will win SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli?
We estimate: SV Darmstadt 98 win 32%, draw 27%, FC St. Pauli win 41%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 23 October 2026, kick-off: 17:30, venue: Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor, Darmstadt. Referee: Timo Gansloweit, Germany.
Who will be missing?
SV Darmstadt 98: no absences. FC St. Pauli: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.82); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 47% (odds 2.17).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 58% (odds 1.67).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.9%), then 0–1 (9.1%) and 1–2 (8.9%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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