Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Türkiye play Belgium at home on 12 November 2026 · 17:00 at Gürsel Aksel Stadium (Izmir); the referee is Sandro Schärer. For us, Belgium (49%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Wins: Belgium win. Half lost (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Belgium lose.
Türkiye vs Belgium: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Türkiye are 4th in the table, on 0 points after 5 matches (0W 0D 5L), and Belgium are 3rd, on 9 points (3W 0D 2L).
- Attack and defence. On average Türkiye score 0.5 goals a match in the competition and concede 2.8; for Belgium the figures are 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Türkiye: 0W 0D 4L, goals 2–11; Belgium: 2W 0D 2L, goals 6–5.
- Head to head. From 2 meetings: 0 wins for Türkiye, 2 wins for Belgium and 0 draws, with the goals at 1–5.
What to expect
For us, Belgium are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (9.8%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.48), and we rate it at 65%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 65% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 65% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 2; Türkiye 0 wins, 0 draws, Belgium 2 wins.
- An average of 3.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Türkiye 2–11, Belgium 6–5.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 65%.
- Out: Türkiye 0, Belgium 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 56%, best price 1.75). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Türkiye: no absences. Absent for Belgium: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Türkiye vs Belgium: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.90 | 4.15 | 1.99 |
| Market average | 3.54 | 3.97 | 1.92 |
| Lowest odds | 3.17 | 3.38 | 1.86 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.12 | 83.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.48 | 1.46 | 64.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.78 | 2.65 | 35.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.14 | 44.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.42 | 65.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.80 | 2.68 | 34.7% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 12/11/26, 16:09. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Türkiye 1–1 Belgium, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Türkiye 4th (0 points), Belgium 3rd (9 points).
- Form in the competition: Türkiye 0W 0D 4L (2:11), Belgium 2W 0D 2L (6:5).
- H2H: 2 matches: Türkiye 0W 0D 2L, goals 1–5.
- Absences: Türkiye 0, Belgium 0.
Who will win Türkiye vs Belgium?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Türkiye vs Belgium: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Türkiye vs Belgium: team news and absences
Türkiye
- No reported absences
Belgium
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
League A – Group A
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Italy | 5 | 3-1-1 | 11:6 | 10 |
| 2 |  France | 5 | 3-1-1 | 8:5 | 10 |
| 3 | Belgium | 5 | 3-0-2 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 4 | Türkiye | 5 | 0-0-5 | 3:13 | 0 |
Recent matches
Türkiye
Home and away
Türkiye vs Belgium: last matches of both teams
Türkiye
Belgium
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
TürkiyeLLLLLBelgiumWLWLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Türkiye vs Belgium?
Belgium -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.75); Over 2.5 goals (1.48).
Who will win Türkiye vs Belgium?
We estimate: Türkiye win 27%, draw 24%, Belgium win 49%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 12 November 2026, kick-off: 17:00, venue: Gürsel Aksel Stadium, Izmir. Referee: Sandro Schärer.
Who will be missing?
Türkiye: no absences. Belgium: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 65% (odds 1.48); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 35% (odds 2.78).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 65% (odds 1.44).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (9.8%), then 1–2 (9.3%) and 0–1 (7.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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