Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Waterford play Drogheda United at home on 23 October 2026 · 19:45 at Regional Sports Centre (Waterford); the referee is R. Hennessy. For us, Waterford (55%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Waterford vs Drogheda United: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Waterford are 7th in the table, on 43 points after 36 matches (10W 13D 13L), and Drogheda United are 9th, on 40 points (10W 10D 16L).
- Head to head. From 16 meetings: 7 wins for Waterford, 5 wins for Drogheda United and 4 draws, with the goals at 23–25.
What to expect
For us, Waterford are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.9%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.75), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 54% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 54% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 16; Waterford 7 wins, 4 draws, Drogheda United 5 wins.
- An average of 3.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 54%.
- Out: Waterford 0, Drogheda United 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 54%, best price 1.75). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Waterford: no absences. Absent for Drogheda United: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Waterford vs Drogheda United: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.87 | 3.90 | 4.80 |
| Market average | 1.68 | 3.79 | 4.65 |
| Lowest odds | 1.62 | 3.70 | 4.19 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 1.21 | 76.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.79 | 1.74 | 53.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.08 | 2.03 | 46.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.92 | 2.80 | 33.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.71 | 54.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 2.02 | 46.0% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 23/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.6%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Waterford 1–1 Drogheda United, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Waterford 7th (43 points), Drogheda United 9th (40 points).
- H2H: 16 matches: Waterford 7W 4D 5L, goals 23–25.
- Absences: Waterford 0, Drogheda United 0.
Who will win Waterford vs Drogheda United?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Waterford vs Drogheda United: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Waterford vs Drogheda United: team news and absences
Waterford
- No reported absences
Drogheda United
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Shamrock Rovers | 36 | 20-8-8 | 59:38 | 68 |
| 2 |  Bohemians | 36 | 19-8-9 | 63:44 | 65 |
| 3 |  St Patrick's Athletic | 36 | 17-9-10 | 55:31 | 60 |
| 4 |  Shelbourne | 36 | 12-13-11 | 52:50 | 49 |
| 5 |  Derry City | 36 | 11-15-10 | 50:47 | 48 |
| 6 |  Dundalk | 36 | 11-12-13 | 55:59 | 45 |
| 7 | Waterford | 36 | 10-13-13 | 54:61 | 43 |
| 8 |  Galway United | 36 | 10-12-14 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 9 | Drogheda United | 36 | 10-10-16 | 44:57 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sligo Rovers | 36 | 5-10-21 | 28:66 | 25 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Waterford vs Drogheda United?
Waterford -0.75 (Asian handicap) (2.13); Both teams to score (1.75).
Who will win Waterford vs Drogheda United?
We estimate: Waterford win 55%, draw 25%, Drogheda United win 20%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 23 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Regional Sports Centre, Waterford. Referee: R. Hennessy.
Who will be missing?
Waterford: no absences. Drogheda United: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.79); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 46% (odds 2.08).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 54% (odds 1.75).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.9%), then 1–0 (10.9%) and 2–1 (9.9%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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