Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Waterford play Galway United at home on 19 October 2026 · 19:45 at Regional Sports Centre (Waterford); the referee is O. Moran. For us, Waterford (57%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Waterford vs Galway United: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Waterford are 7th in the table, on 43 points after 36 matches (10W 13D 13L), and Galway United are 8th, on 42 points (10W 12D 14L).
- Head to head. From 22 meetings: 6 wins for Waterford, 10 wins for Galway United and 6 draws, with the goals at 28–30.
What to expect
For us, Waterford are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–1 (9.9%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57), and we rate it at 61%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 59% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 61% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 22; Waterford 6 wins, 6 draws, Galway United 10 wins.
- An average of 2.6 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 61%.
- Out: Waterford 0, Galway United 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 60%, best price 1.62). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Waterford: no absences. Absent for Galway United: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Waterford vs Galway United: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.86 | 4.70 | 4.77 |
| Market average | 1.62 | 4.21 | 4.56 |
| Lowest odds | 1.57 | 3.43 | 3.31 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.14 | 81.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.51 | 61.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.39 | 38.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.32 | 40.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.60 | 1.57 | 58.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.28 | 2.25 | 41.2% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 19/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 8.1%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Waterford 2–1 Galway United, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Waterford 7th (43 points), Galway United 8th (42 points).
- H2H: 22 matches: Waterford 6W 6D 10L, goals 28–30.
- Absences: Waterford 0, Galway United 0.
Who will win Waterford vs Galway United?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Waterford vs Galway United: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Waterford vs Galway United: team news and absences
Waterford
- No reported absences
Galway United
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Shamrock Rovers | 36 | 20-8-8 | 59:38 | 68 |
| 2 |  Bohemians | 36 | 19-8-9 | 63:44 | 65 |
| 3 |  St Patrick's Athletic | 36 | 17-9-10 | 55:31 | 60 |
| 4 |  Shelbourne | 36 | 12-13-11 | 52:50 | 49 |
| 5 |  Derry City | 36 | 11-15-10 | 50:47 | 48 |
| 6 |  Dundalk | 36 | 11-12-13 | 55:59 | 45 |
| 7 | Waterford | 36 | 10-13-13 | 54:61 | 43 |
| 8 | Galway United | 36 | 10-12-14 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 9 |  Drogheda United | 36 | 10-10-16 | 44:57 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sligo Rovers | 36 | 5-10-21 | 28:66 | 25 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Waterford vs Galway United?
Waterford -0.75 (Asian handicap) (2.14); Over 2.5 goals (1.57).
Who will win Waterford vs Galway United?
We estimate: Waterford win 57%, draw 22%, Galway United win 20%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 19 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Regional Sports Centre, Waterford. Referee: O. Moran.
Who will be missing?
Waterford: no absences. Galway United: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.57); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 39% (odds 2.55).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 59% (odds 1.60).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–1 as most likely (9.9%), then 1–1 (9.9%) and 2–0 (8.6%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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