AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool: prediction, tip and odds, 14 November 2026, League One

AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool betting prediction

AFC Wimbledon host Blackpool at the Cherry Red Records Stadium in London on 14 November 2026, kick-off 15:00, in League One Matchweek 15. The two sides are separated by a single place in the table, and the bookmakers' prices reflect how close they look on paper. We still think the home side offer the better value, and our main tip is built around them.

Wimbledon at home, poor almost everywhere else

AFC Wimbledon sit 18th in League One with 13 points from 13 matches: 3 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats, with 9 goals scored and 21 conceded. Those are this competition's figures only, and they paint a team that struggles to score, averaging 0.7 goals per match, while conceding 1.6.

The picture is better at home. At home in this competition they have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 1, scoring 3 and conceding 4. That is a far more respectable record than their away form, and it is the main reason we are willing to back them here.

Their recent results across all competitions are less encouraging. They have lost Plymouth 2-1 away, Sheffield Wednesday 5-0 away, Mansfield Town 0-3 at home, Stockport County 2-1 away, and drawn 1-1 with Wycombe at home. Over those five matches they have won none, drawn 1 and lost 4, scoring 3 and conceding 13. The Mansfield and Sheffield Wednesday defeats were heavy, and we would not pretend otherwise.

Blackpool's away trips have been hard going

Blackpool are 19th with 12 points from 12 matches in this competition: 3 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats, 17 goals scored and 21 conceded. They score more than Wimbledon, at 1.4 per match, but they concede 1.8, so the attacking output has not translated into points.

Away from home the numbers are poor. Blackpool have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 4 on the road, scoring 5 and conceding 10.

Across all competitions, their last five matches read: a 1-0 defeat at Cambridge United, a 2-0 defeat at Leyton Orient, a 2-0 home win over Milton Keynes Dons, a 1-4 home defeat to Mansfield Town, and a 1-1 draw at Sheffield Wednesday. That gives 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, with 4 goals scored and 8 conceded. The only win in that run came at home, and that is the detail that matters most to us.

No earlier meeting, and no fitness doubts

We have no record of an earlier meeting between these two sides, so there is no head-to-head pattern to lean on. Neither club has reported absentees, and the match will rest on the form in the tables and on the last few results rather than on who is missing.

Our tip: Wimbledon or a draw at 1.57

The bookmakers make AFC Wimbledon 35% to win, a draw 27% and Blackpool 38%, with the best odds at 2.70, 3.45 and 2.50. Blackpool are the market's slight favourite on the result, and we understand why, since they are the away side with the better scoring rate. We still prefer to back the home side in a double chance.

Our main tip is AFC Wimbledon or draw (1X) at odds 1.57, with a chance of 62%. We like it for three reasons. Blackpool have won only 1 of their last 5 matches in all competitions. Wimbledon sit above them in the league table, 18th with 13 points against 19th with 12. The bet wins on a 1-1, a 1-0, a 2-1 or a 0-0, and loses on a 0-1 or a 1-2. A home win by any margin is a winner, so the tip does not need Wimbledon to be good, only to avoid losing at home.

Our second tip is both teams to score at odds 1.67, with a chance of 57%. Wimbledon have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5 matches, and the price is fair for a game where both attacks have shown they can hit the net. The bet wins on a 1-1, a 1-2 or a 2-1, and loses on a 0-1, a 1-0 or a 0-0. The risk is obvious: a home win without a Blackpool goal, or a cagey draw, both lose it.

Other bets we would consider

• AFC Wimbledon +1 (Asian handicap) at 1.25, chance 76%. At +1 the bet wins unless Wimbledon lose by 2 or more, and a defeat by exactly 1 returns the stake. It sits comfortably with our main tip.
• Over 1.5 goals at 1.26, chance 75%. The short price is the point here; it is a low-risk way to back a game with goals in it, and it sits well alongside the second tip.
• Under 3.5 goals at 1.40, chance 67%. The bookmakers see at most three goals as the likely outcome, and we agree that a high total is less likely than not.

Whichever bet you choose, keep the stake modest. Both sides have lost more often than they have won in this competition, and a single result can change the picture quickly. We will take the home side's record over the away trips of either team, and we think that is the right way to approach this game.