Bet with Freshbet →Peterborough play Oxford United at home on 14 November 2026 · 15:00 at Weston Homes Stadium (Peterborough). For us, there is no clear favourite. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Peterborough vs Oxford United betting prediction
Peterborough host Oxford United at the Weston Homes Stadium on 14 November 2026, kick-off 15:00, in League One Matchweek 15. The home side sit 22nd with 10 points from 13 games, and that is the first number we would look at. The visitors are third with 23 points from 12, and they have been the more convincing side on the road this season.
Peterborough's home record is the problem
Peterborough have won two of their 13 League One matches, drawn four and lost seven, scoring 11 and conceding 23. At home the picture is no better: one win, two draws and three defeats, with 5 goals scored and 9 conceded. Per match they score 0.8 and concede 1.8 in this competition.
Their last five matches, across all competitions, bring one win, two draws and two defeats, with seven goals scored and ten conceded. That form is a little better than the table suggests, since the wins and draws include a 3-1 away win at Leicester, but it is still not a side we would back to win at home against a team in third.
Oxford's away form carries the case
Oxford United have won six, drawn five and lost one of their 12 League One games, with 20 goals scored and 11 conceded. Their away record is the strongest figure on this page: three wins, two draws and one defeat, with 11 scored and 7 conceded. They concede only 0.9 per match and score 1.7.
In all competitions their last five produced two wins and three draws with no defeat, and only five goals scored against three conceded. The table covers League One alone, while that run covers every competition, but both sides point the same way: Oxford are harder to beat than Peterborough are to beat them.
No earlier meeting and no absences to weigh
We have no record of an earlier meeting between these two sides, so there is no head-to-head pattern to lean on. Neither club has an absence reported, so the team news does not change the picture either. The decision rests on form, the table and the prices.
What the bookmakers' prices say
The market makes it close on the match result: Peterborough win 37% (best odds 2.52), draw 26% (best odds 3.70), Oxford United win 38% (best odds 2.50). The bookmaker margin on the result is 8.4%, so the prices are not generous. The bookmakers see the most likely exact scores as 1-1 (10.8%), 1-2 (8.4%) and 2-1 (8.4%), with about four goals expected in total, two for each side.
Best bet for Peterborough vs Oxford United: Draw or Oxford United
Our main tip is Draw or Oxford United (X2) at odds 1.55 (chance 63%). We like it because it covers a draw and an Oxford win. Oxford have not lost any of their last five, Peterborough have won only one of theirs, and Oxford's away record is three wins and two draws from six. The market gives the bet 63% at best odds 1.55, which is a fair price for a side we expect to pick up a result.
The main tip wins on 1-1, 1-2, 0-1 and 2-2, and loses on 2-1 and 1-0. That 2-1 is one of the likeliest scores on the board, so we are not pretending this is a safe bet. Our second tip is Both teams to score at odds 1.50 (chance 63%). Peterborough have scored in four of their last five matches and failed to score in only one; Oxford have scored in four of their last five and failed to score in only one. The second tip wins on 1-1, 1-2, 2-1 and 2-2, and loses on 0-1 and 1-0.
Other bets you may like
If the main tip does not appeal at 1.55, these are the ones we would look at, all at the odds given:
- Oxford United +0.5 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.53 (chance 62%): it wins unless Oxford lose by one goal or more, so a draw is a winning result for this bet.
- Over 2.5 goals at odds 1.57 (chance 60%): it sits alongside our second tip.
Neither bet asks Peterborough to win, which is where we think the value is not. We would not back the home side at any of their handicap prices. Oxford have the better form on the road, and that is the story we are following.
Peterborough vs Oxford United: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.52 | 3.70 | 2.50 |
| Market average | 2.51 | 3.59 | 2.46 |
| Lowest odds | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.16 | 80.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.55 | 60.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.37 | 2.33 | 39.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.38 | 2.35 | 39.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.48 | 62.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.50 | 37.2% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 4/11/26, 16:18. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 8.4%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Peterborough 1–1 Oxford United, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Peterborough 22nd (10 points), Oxford United 3rd (26 points).
- Form in the competition: Peterborough 2W 4D 7L (11:23), Oxford United 7W 5D 1L (22:11).
- H2H: 20 matches: Peterborough 6W 5D 9L, goals 23–27.
- Absences: Peterborough 0, Oxford United 0.
Who will win Peterborough vs Oxford United?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Peterborough vs Oxford United: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Correct score prediction
Peterborough vs Oxford United: team news and absences
Peterborough
- No reported absences
Oxford United
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 14 | 8-5-1 | 28:12 | 29 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 14 | 8-2-4 | 26:14 | 26 |
| 3 | Oxford United | 13 | 7-5-1 | 22:11 | 26 |
| 4 |  Luton | 14 | 7-3-4 | 27:21 | 24 |
| 5 |  Plymouth | 14 | 7-2-5 | 21:19 | 23 |
| 6 |  Reading | 14 | 6-4-4 | 25:15 | 22 |
| 7 |  Bradford | 13 | 6-4-3 | 10:8 | 22 |
| 8 |  Cambridge United | 14 | 5-6-3 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | 5-5-3 | 22:14 | 20 |
| 10 |  Leicester | 13 | 5-4-4 | 22:19 | 19 |
| 11 |  Mansfield Town | 13 | 5-4-4 | 20:18 | 19 |
| 12 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4-6-3 | 22:20 | 18 |
| 13 |  Wycombe | 13 | 4-6-3 | 21:23 | 18 |
| 14 |  Leyton Orient | 13 | 5-2-6 | 19:14 | 17 |
| 15 |  Burton Albion | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:21 | 17 |
| 16 |  Stevenage | 12 | 4-4-4 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 17 |  Notts County | 12 | 3-5-4 | 13:14 | 14 |
| 18 |  AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 3-4-6 | 9:21 | 13 |
| 19 |  Blackpool | 12 | 3-3-6 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 20 |  Doncaster | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:22 | 12 |
| 21 |  Wigan | 14 | 3-2-9 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 22 | Peterborough | 13 | 2-4-7 | 11:23 | 10 |
| 23 |  Barnsley | 12 | 2-3-7 | 12:22 | 9 |
| 24 |  Bromley | 13 | 2-3-8 | 13:33 | 9 |
Recent matches
Peterborough
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
PeterboroughLDLDWOxford UnitedWDWDWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Peterborough vs Oxford United?
Draw or Oxford United (X2) (1.55); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win Peterborough vs Oxford United?
We estimate: Peterborough win 37%, draw 26%, Oxford United win 38%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 14 November 2026, kick-off: 15:00, venue: Weston Homes Stadium, Peterborough.
Who will be missing?
Peterborough: no absences. Oxford United: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 60% (odds 1.57); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 40% (odds 2.37).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 63% (odds 1.50).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.8%), then 1–2 (8.4%) and 2–1 (8.4%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.