Bet with Freshbet →It is Wigan against Barnsley on 14 November 2026 · 15:00 at The Brick Community Stadium (Wigan). This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wigan vs Barnsley betting prediction
Wigan host Barnsley at The Brick Community Stadium on 14 November 2026, kick-off 15:00, in League One Matchweek 15. The bookmakers see a game with goals in it: the expected goals are 2 for each side, and over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.57 with a 60% chance. The most likely exact score is 1-1 at 10.8%, and the home side's chance of winning sits at 39%, above the away side's 35%, with the draw taking 26% of the market. We like the shape of this match more than its headline goal figures.
Where the table and the goals point
Wigan are 21st with 10 points from 13 games, Barnsley 23rd with 9 from 12. Those are this competition's figures only, so they tell us nothing about how either side has done in cups. Wigan have won three and lost nine, with 11 goals scored and 22 conceded. Barnsley have won two, drawn three and lost seven, with 12 scored and 22 conceded. Neither side is a prolific attacker, and neither has kept the back door shut.
Attack against defence, and who has the edge
Wigan average 0.8 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Barnsley average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded. On paper Barnsley create a touch more, but the gap is small, and Wigan's home record is the figure we trust most. At home they have three wins, no draws and three defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Barnsley away have one win, one draw and four defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 11. Both sides are leaky when they travel, and Wigan's home games have been the more productive of the two.
Recent form, read with care
These are results in all competitions, not just League One. Wigan's last five are a win over Reading, defeats at Oxford United, Huddersfield and Leicester, and a win over Bromley, which is two wins, no draws and three defeats, with 6 goals scored and 9 conceded. Barnsley's last five are defeats at Stockport County, Luton and Reading, a home defeat to Cambridge United and a home draw with Oxford United. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats, with 5 scored and 10 conceded. Barnsley have not won in that run, and that matters to us more than the table gap.
Both sides have been scoring in these matches. Wigan have seen both teams score in three of their last five, and Barnsley have seen both teams score in all five. Barnsley have scored in all five of theirs. Wigan have failed to score in one, and have kept a clean sheet in one.
No meetings on record and no absentees
We have no earlier meeting between these two to lean on, so there is no head-to-head angle to build a tip from. Neither club has reported an absence, so we are judging both sides at full strength, which is how we would want to see it.
Best bet for Wigan vs Barnsley: Wigan or draw
Main tip: Wigan or draw (1X) at odds 1.50, chance 65%. This is the bet we would make. Barnsley have won none of their last five, and their away record is one win in six league games. Wigan at home have won three and lost three, which is not impressive, but it is better than what Barnsley have shown on their travels. The bet wins on 1-1, 2-1, 1-0 and 2-2, and loses on 1-2 and 0-1. The price is short, so this is a bet for a steady return, not a windfall.
Another tip: Both teams to score
Second tip: Both teams to score at odds 1.50, chance 63%. Our case rests on the recent form of both attacks. Barnsley have seen both teams score in five of their last five, and Wigan have seen it in three of five. Barnsley have not failed to score in any of their last five, which tells us their goals are not dried up. The price looks right to us. The bet wins on 1-1, 2-1, 1-2 and 2-2, and loses on 1-0 and 0-1.
Other bets we might take
If the main tip and the second tip feel too thin for your taste, these are the alternatives we would consider. None of them goes against our two tips.
- Over 2.5 goals at odds 1.57 (chance 60%). Our expected goal count of 2 each supports it, and it fits with a match where both sides score.
- Wigan +0.5 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.47 (chance 64%). This wins unless Wigan lose by one or more, so a draw is a win for this bet.
- Barnsley +1 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.27 (chance 74%). This wins unless Barnsley lose by two or more, and a defeat by exactly one returns the stake.
Most likely score: 1-1
We expect 1-1. It is the most likely exact score in the market at 10.8%, it wins both our tips, and it fits the form of two sides who score but do not defend well away from home. If we had to pick one score to watch, it is that one.
Wigan vs Barnsley: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.40 | 3.60 | 2.75 |
| Market average | 2.38 | 3.51 | 2.67 |
| Lowest odds | 2.35 | 3.30 | 2.62 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.15 | 80.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.57 | 59.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.37 | 2.34 | 40.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.38 | 2.36 | 39.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.48 | 62.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.52 | 2.50 | 37.3% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 4/11/26, 16:18. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.9%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Wigan 1–1 Barnsley, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Wigan 21st (11 points), Barnsley 23rd (9 points).
- Form in the competition: Wigan 3W 2D 9L (11:22), Barnsley 2W 3D 7L (12:22).
- H2H: 17 matches: Wigan 5W 10D 2L, goals 21–16.
- Absences: Wigan 0, Barnsley 0.
Who will win Wigan vs Barnsley?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Wigan vs Barnsley: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Correct score prediction
Wigan vs Barnsley: team news and absences
Wigan
- No reported absences
Barnsley
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 14 | 8-5-1 | 28:12 | 29 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 14 | 8-2-4 | 26:14 | 26 |
| 3 |  Oxford United | 13 | 7-5-1 | 22:11 | 26 |
| 4 |  Luton | 14 | 7-3-4 | 27:21 | 24 |
| 5 |  Plymouth | 14 | 7-2-5 | 21:19 | 23 |
| 6 |  Reading | 14 | 6-4-4 | 25:15 | 22 |
| 7 |  Bradford | 13 | 6-4-3 | 10:8 | 22 |
| 8 |  Cambridge United | 14 | 5-6-3 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | 5-5-3 | 22:14 | 20 |
| 10 |  Leicester | 13 | 5-4-4 | 22:19 | 19 |
| 11 |  Mansfield Town | 13 | 5-4-4 | 20:18 | 19 |
| 12 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4-6-3 | 22:20 | 18 |
| 13 |  Wycombe | 13 | 4-6-3 | 21:23 | 18 |
| 14 |  Leyton Orient | 13 | 5-2-6 | 19:14 | 17 |
| 15 |  Burton Albion | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:21 | 17 |
| 16 |  Stevenage | 12 | 4-4-4 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 17 |  Notts County | 12 | 3-5-4 | 13:14 | 14 |
| 18 |  AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 3-4-6 | 9:21 | 13 |
| 19 |  Blackpool | 12 | 3-3-6 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 20 |  Doncaster | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:22 | 12 |
| 21 | Wigan | 14 | 3-2-9 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 22 |  Peterborough | 13 | 2-4-7 | 11:23 | 10 |
| 23 | Barnsley | 12 | 2-3-7 | 12:22 | 9 |
| 24 |  Bromley | 13 | 2-3-8 | 13:33 | 9 |
Recent matches
Wigan
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
WiganDWLLLBarnsleyDLLLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Wigan vs Barnsley?
Wigan or draw (1X) (1.50); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win Wigan vs Barnsley?
We estimate: Wigan win 39%, draw 26%, Barnsley win 35%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 14 November 2026, kick-off: 15:00, venue: The Brick Community Stadium, Wigan.
Who will be missing?
Wigan: no absences. Barnsley: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 60% (odds 1.57); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 40% (odds 2.37).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 63% (odds 1.50).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.8%), then 2–1 (8.6%) and 1–2 (8.1%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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