Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
AFC Wimbledon play Mansfield Town at home on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at Plough Lane (Wimbledon). For us, there is no clear favourite. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. AFC Wimbledon are 18th in the table, on 13 points after 13 matches (3W 4D 6L), and Mansfield Town are 11th, on 19 points (5W 4D 4L).
What to expect
For us, Mansfield Town are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (11.9%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.67), and we rate it at 57%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 57% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 52% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 52%.
- Out: AFC Wimbledon 0, Mansfield Town 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 57%, best price 1.67). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for AFC Wimbledon: no absences. Absent for Mansfield Town: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.47 | 3.61 | 2.17 |
| Market average | 3.32 | 3.41 | 2.09 |
| Lowest odds | 3.12 | 3.14 | 2.04 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.24 | 74.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 1.80 | 52.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.04 | 1.98 | 47.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.92 | 31.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.64 | 56.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.14 | 43.3% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 20/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.4%.
At a glance
- Likely result: AFC Wimbledon 1–1 Mansfield Town, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: AFC Wimbledon 18th (13 points), Mansfield Town 11th (19 points).
- Absences: AFC Wimbledon 0, Mansfield Town 0.
Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town: team news and absences
AFC Wimbledon
- No reported absences
Mansfield Town
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 14 | 8-5-1 | 28:12 | 29 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 14 | 8-2-4 | 26:14 | 26 |
| 3 |  Oxford United | 13 | 7-5-1 | 22:11 | 26 |
| 4 |  Luton | 14 | 7-3-4 | 27:21 | 24 |
| 5 |  Plymouth | 14 | 7-2-5 | 21:19 | 23 |
| 6 |  Reading | 14 | 6-4-4 | 25:15 | 22 |
| 7 |  Bradford | 13 | 6-4-3 | 10:8 | 22 |
| 8 |  Cambridge United | 14 | 5-6-3 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | 5-5-3 | 22:14 | 20 |
| 10 |  Leicester | 13 | 5-4-4 | 22:19 | 19 |
| 11 | Mansfield Town | 13 | 5-4-4 | 20:18 | 19 |
| 12 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4-6-3 | 22:20 | 18 |
| 13 |  Wycombe | 13 | 4-6-3 | 21:23 | 18 |
| 14 |  Leyton Orient | 13 | 5-2-6 | 19:14 | 17 |
| 15 |  Burton Albion | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:21 | 17 |
| 16 |  Stevenage | 12 | 4-4-4 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 17 |  Notts County | 12 | 3-5-4 | 13:14 | 14 |
| 18 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 3-4-6 | 9:21 | 13 |
| 19 |  Blackpool | 12 | 3-3-6 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 20 |  Doncaster | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:22 | 12 |
| 21 |  Wigan | 14 | 3-2-9 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 22 |  Peterborough | 13 | 2-4-7 | 11:23 | 10 |
| 23 |  Barnsley | 12 | 2-3-7 | 12:22 | 9 |
| 24 |  Bromley | 13 | 2-3-8 | 13:33 | 9 |
Recent matches
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town?
AFC Wimbledon or draw (1X) (1.78); Both teams to score (1.67).
Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town?
We estimate: AFC Wimbledon win 28%, draw 27%, Mansfield Town win 45%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 20 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Plough Lane, Wimbledon.
Who will be missing?
AFC Wimbledon: no absences. Mansfield Town: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.85); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 48% (odds 2.04).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 57% (odds 1.67).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.9%), then 0–1 (9.9%) and 1–2 (9.2%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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