Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 5–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Grimsby play York at home on 31 October 2026 · 12:30 at Blundell Park (Grimsby); the referee is A. Jackson. For us, there is no clear favourite. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Grimsby vs York: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Grimsby are 6th in the table, on 20 points after 14 matches (5W 5D 4L), and York are 7th, on 20 points (5W 5D 4L).
- Attack and defence. On average Grimsby score 1.5 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.2; for York the figures are 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Grimsby: 4W 5D 4L, goals 19–16; York: 5W 5D 3L, goals 22–16.
- Head to head. From 5 meetings: 1 win for Grimsby, 4 wins for York and 0 draws, with the goals at 9–10.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–2 score estimate, roughly 4 goals in all, and 1–1 (10.8%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.53), and we rate it at 63%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 63% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 60% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 5; Grimsby 1 win, 0 draws, York 4 wins.
- An average of 3.8 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Grimsby 19–16, York 22–16.
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 60%.
- Out: Grimsby 0, York 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 63%, best price 1.53). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Grimsby: no absences. Absent for York: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Grimsby vs York: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.40 | 3.89 | 2.85 |
| Market average | 2.33 | 3.65 | 2.67 |
| Lowest odds | 2.17 | 3.21 | 2.51 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.16 | 80.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.57 | 59.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.45 | 2.34 | 40.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.47 | 2.38 | 38.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.48 | 62.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.50 | 37.2% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 31/10/26, 09:43. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.9%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Grimsby 1–1 York, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Grimsby 6th (20 points), York 7th (20 points).
- Form in the competition: Grimsby 4W 5D 4L (19:16), York 5W 5D 3L (22:16).
- H2H: 5 matches: Grimsby 1W 0D 4L, goals 9–10.
- Absences: Grimsby 0, York 0.
Who will win Grimsby vs York?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Grimsby vs York: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Grimsby vs York: team news and absences
Grimsby
- No reported absences
York
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 | York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4-3-7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Grimsby
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
GrimsbyWWDLLYorkLLWDDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Grimsby vs York?
York +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.80); Both teams to score (1.53).
Who will win Grimsby vs York?
We estimate: Grimsby win 40%, draw 25%, York win 35%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 31 October 2026, kick-off: 12:30, venue: Blundell Park, Grimsby. Referee: A. Jackson.
Who will be missing?
Grimsby: no absences. York: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 60% (odds 1.60); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 40% (odds 2.45).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 63% (odds 1.53).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.8%), then 2–1 (8.6%) and 1–2 (8.1%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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