Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
York play Port Vale at home on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at York Community Stadium (York); the referee is D. Webb. For us, York (47%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
York vs Port Vale: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. York are 7th in the table, on 20 points after 14 matches (5W 5D 4L), and Port Vale are 19th, on 15 points (4W 3D 5L).
- Head to head. From 3 meetings: 1 win for York, 1 win for Port Vale and 1 draw, with the goals at 4–4.
What to expect
For us, York are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (12.0%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.73), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 54% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 51% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 3; York 1 win, 1 draw, Port Vale 1 win.
- An average of 2.7 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 51%.
- Out: York 0, Port Vale 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 54%, best price 1.73). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for York: no absences. Absent for Port Vale: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
York vs Port Vale: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.83 |
| Market average | 1.99 | 3.48 | 3.62 |
| Lowest odds | 1.94 | 3.30 | 3.45 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.25 | 74.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.90 | 1.84 | 51.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.95 | 1.92 | 49.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.25 | 3.07 | 30.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.70 | 54.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.04 | 45.5% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 13:59. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.8%.
At a glance
- Likely result: York 1–1 Port Vale, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: York 7th (20 points), Port Vale 19th (15 points).
- H2H: 3 matches: York 1W 1D 1L, goals 4–4.
- Absences: York 0, Port Vale 0.
Who will win York vs Port Vale?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
York vs Port Vale: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
York vs Port Vale: team news and absences
York
- No reported absences
Port Vale
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 | York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4-3-7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for York vs Port Vale?
Port Vale +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Both teams to score (1.73).
Who will win York vs Port Vale?
We estimate: York win 47%, draw 27%, Port Vale win 26%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 15:00, venue: York Community Stadium, York. Referee: D. Webb.
Who will be missing?
York: no absences. Port Vale: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.90); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 49% (odds 1.95).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 54% (odds 1.73).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.0%), then 1–0 (11.0%) and 2–1 (9.3%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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