Bromley play Notts County at home on 14 November 2026 · 15:00 at Hayes Lane (London). For us, there is no clear favourite. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Bromley vs Notts County betting prediction
Bromley against Notts County at Hayes Lane on 14 November 2026, kick-off 15:00, looks like a match the numbers have already half-written. The expected goals sit at Bromley 1, Notts County 2, and about 3 in total. The most likely exact scores are 1-1 at 12.0%, 0-1 at 9.6% and 1-2 at 9.0%. None of those is a strong favourite, but together they tell us where the money should go: a home side that scores little, a visitor that scores a bit more, and a fair chance that both get on the scoresheet.
Bromley's leaky defence against Notts County's modest attack
Bromley have scored 13 and conceded 33 in this competition, which works out at 1.0 goal scored and 2.5 conceded per match. Those are the figures that worry us most. Their home record in League One this season is 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats, with 4 goals scored and 14 conceded at Hayes Lane.
Notts County are not prolific either. They have scored 1.1 per match and conceded 1.2 in the same competition, and their 13 goals for and 14 against are sitting in a 17th-place table with 14 points from 12 games. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 8. So the visitors are not an attacking juggernaut, but they are much harder to beat than Bromley have been, and that is what drives our reading of this match.
Form that points in different directions
Bromley's last five matches across all competitions make grim reading. The counts show no wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats, with 4 goals scored and 13 conceded. The 4-1 away loss at Milton Keynes Dons and the 0-4 home defeat to Leicester stand out, and the 1-1 draw with Peterborough was the only point gained.
Notts County have been more mixed but in better shape. Across their last five, the counts show 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, with 6 scored and 5 conceded. Their 2-0 win at Mansfield Town and their 2-0 home win over Sheffield Wednesday are the results that caught our eye. Keep in mind that these are all-competition results, and the league table only tells the story of this competition, so the two do not always line up.
No history to lean on
There is no earlier meeting between these two sides on record, so we have no head-to-head pattern to lean on. Every judgement here rests on the current season, the expected goals and the market, not on any old script between the clubs.
No absences reported on either side
No absences have been reported for either Bromley or Notts County, so we are working with full-strength squads on paper. That removes one variable, though it also means the teams' recent results are the only real evidence we have.
Best bet for Bromley vs Notts County: Bromley or draw
Our main tip is Bromley or draw (1X) at odds 1.67 (chance 58%). The market gives it 58% at best odds 1.67, and that is the whole case we are making. We are buying the fact that the bookmakers see Notts County's away win at 42%, and a 1X ticket covers both home-side outcomes. It wins on 1-1, 1-0 and 2-1, and it loses on 0-1, 1-2 and 0-2.
Another tip: Both teams to score
Our second tip is Both teams to score at odds 1.67 (chance 56%). Bromley have scored in 3 of their last 5 matches across all competitions, and Notts County have failed to score in only 1 of theirs. The expected total of about 3 goals sits comfortably in line with a match where both sides find the net. It wins on 1-1, 1-2 and 2-1 and loses on 0-1, 1-0 and 0-2. We like it as a companion to the main tip, not a replacement, because it wins on the same 1-1 scoreline and gives us a second route in if Notts County do the scoring.
Cheaper alternatives worth a look
If you want to add something without leaning on the two tips, these are the options we would consider. None of them goes against our main pick.
- Bromley +1.5 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.22 (chance 78%): the bet wins unless Bromley lose by 2 or more. It is the safest price on the page, and it fits the most likely 1-1 and 0-1 scorelines.
- Over 1.5 goals at odds 1.26 (chance 75%): the market is confident that this match will produce at least two goals.
- Under 3.5 goals at odds 1.39 (chance 68%): we like this more than Over 3.5, which the bookmakers give 32%.
- Over 2.5 goals at odds 1.80 (chance 52%): it sits close to a coin flip, but it lines up with the expected total of about 3.
The score we keep coming back to
Our most likely score is 1-1. It is the single most probable outcome on the bookmakers' list at 12.0%, it wins both of our tips, and it fits Bromley's home scoring and Notts County's away record. The 1-2 and 0-1 scorelines are close behind, and they are the reason we keep the 1X ticket rather than backing Bromley outright.
Bromley vs Notts County: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.23 |
| Market average | 2.97 | 3.44 | 2.21 |
| Lowest odds | 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.23 | 75.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.80 | 1.80 | 52.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 1.97 | 47.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.91 | 31.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.65 | 56.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.12 | 43.7% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 4/11/26, 16:18. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 8.0%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Bromley 1–1 Notts County, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Bromley 24th (9 points), Notts County 17th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Bromley 2W 3D 8L (13:33), Notts County 3W 5D 4L (13:14).
- H2H: 12 matches: Bromley 3W 7D 2L, goals 16–16.
- Absences: Bromley 0, Notts County 0.
Who will win Bromley vs Notts County?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Bromley vs Notts County: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Correct score prediction
Bromley vs Notts County: team news and absences
Bromley
- No reported absences
Notts County
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 8-5-1 | 28:12 | 29 | |
| 2 | 14 | 8-2-4 | 26:14 | 26 | |
| 3 | 13 | 7-5-1 | 22:11 | 26 | |
| 4 | 14 | 7-3-4 | 27:21 | 24 | |
| 5 | 14 | 7-2-5 | 21:19 | 23 | |
| 6 | 14 | 6-4-4 | 25:15 | 22 | |
| 7 | 13 | 6-4-3 | 10:8 | 22 | |
| 8 | 14 | 5-6-3 | 21:21 | 21 | |
| 9 | 13 | 5-5-3 | 22:14 | 20 | |
| 10 | 13 | 5-4-4 | 22:19 | 19 | |
| 11 | 13 | 5-4-4 | 20:18 | 19 | |
| 12 | 13 | 4-6-3 | 22:20 | 18 | |
| 13 | 13 | 4-6-3 | 21:23 | 18 | |
| 14 | 13 | 5-2-6 | 19:14 | 17 | |
| 15 | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:21 | 17 | |
| 16 | 12 | 4-4-4 | 17:13 | 16 | |
| 17 | 12 | 3-5-4 | 13:14 | 14 | |
| 18 | 13 | 3-4-6 | 9:21 | 13 | |
| 19 | 12 | 3-3-6 | 17:21 | 12 | |
| 20 | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:22 | 12 | |
| 21 | 14 | 3-2-9 | 11:22 | 11 | |
| 22 | 13 | 2-4-7 | 11:23 | 10 | |
| 23 | 12 | 2-3-7 | 12:22 | 9 | |
| 24 | 13 | 2-3-8 | 13:33 | 9 |
Recent matches
Bromley
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Bromley vs Notts County?
Bromley or draw (1X) (1.67); Both teams to score (1.67).
Who will win Bromley vs Notts County?
We estimate: Bromley win 31%, draw 27%, Notts County win 42%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 14 November 2026, kick-off: 15:00, venue: Hayes Lane, London.
Who will be missing?
Bromley: no absences. Notts County: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.80); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 48% (odds 2.00).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 56% (odds 1.67).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.0%), then 0–1 (9.6%) and 1–2 (9.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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