Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Celje play Red Bull Salzburg at home on 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at Stadion Z’dežele (Celje); the referee is John Brooks. For us, Red Bull Salzburg (63%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Celje are 29th in the table, on 1 point after 3 matches (0W 1D 2L), and Red Bull Salzburg are 21st, on 4 points (1W 1D 1L).
- Head to head. From 1 meetings: 0 wins for Celje, 0 wins for Red Bull Salzburg and 1 draw, with the goals at 2–2.
What to expect
For us, Red Bull Salzburg are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–2 (9.9%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.52), and we rate it at 63%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 58% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 63% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 1; Celje 0 wins, 1 draw, Red Bull Salzburg 0 wins.
- An average of 4.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 63%.
- Out: Celje 0, Red Bull Salzburg 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 58%, best price 1.67). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Celje: no absences. Absent for Red Bull Salzburg: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 6.25 | 4.85 | 1.54 |
| Market average | 5.90 | 4.57 | 1.51 |
| Lowest odds | 5.50 | 4.33 | 1.47 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.16 | 1.14 | 82.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.52 | 1.50 | 62.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.62 | 2.52 | 37.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.35 | 2.26 | 42.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.61 | 57.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.21 | 42.1% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 22/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.3%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Celje 1–2 Red Bull Salzburg, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Celje 29th (1 point), Red Bull Salzburg 21st (4 points).
- H2H: 1 match: Celje 0W 1D 0L, goals 2–2.
- Absences: Celje 0, Red Bull Salzburg 0.
Who will win Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg: team news and absences
Celje
- No reported absences
Red Bull Salzburg
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 4:1 | 10 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 4 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 6 |  Union Saint-Gilloise | 3 | 2-1-0 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Rennes | 4 | 1-3-0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 13 |  Lyon | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 | Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 | Celje | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Lillestrøm | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznań | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 33 |  Plzeň | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0-0-3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:11 | 0 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Celje +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.84); Over 2.5 goals (1.52).
Who will win Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg?
We estimate: Celje win 16%, draw 21%, Red Bull Salzburg win 63%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 22 October 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: Stadion Z’dežele, Celje. Referee: John Brooks.
Who will be missing?
Celje: no absences. Red Bull Salzburg: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 63% (odds 1.52); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 37% (odds 2.62).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 58% (odds 1.67).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–2 as most likely (9.9%), then 0–2 (9.4%) and 1–1 (9.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.