Bet with Freshbet →Celtic v Beşiktaş: 5 November 2026 · 20:00 at Celtic Park (Glasgow), with Sascha Stegemann refereeing. We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Celtic vs Beşiktaş betting prediction
Celtic have been in the goals this autumn, and Beşiktaş have too, which is why we lead with the over. Kick-off at Celtic Park in Glasgow is 20:00 on 5 November 2026, in the UEFA Europa League league phase, matchday 4. Our main tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds 1.67, which the bookmakers rate at 60%. Our second tip is Draw or Beşiktaş (X2) at odds 1.40, with a market chance of 69%. The two tips pull in slightly different directions, and that is deliberate: one bets on a busy game, the other on Beşiktaş not losing.
Celtic still searching for a first win
Celtic sit 35th in this competition with no points, having lost all three matches. Their goal record is 3:9, and the home numbers are the ones that stand out to us: no wins, no draws and two defeats at Celtic Park, with 2 goals scored and 5 conceded. That is a home side that has not yet found a way to keep the ball out.
Their recent results across all competitions look better. Their last five matches brought 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, with 12 goals scored and 8 conceded. The 7-1 win over Heart Of Midlothian stands out, and so does the 2-2 draw with Dundee United. The defeats came against Celta Vigo at home and at Falkirk. Those five games are not this competition, though, and we would not let the 7-1 hide what happened in Europe.
Beşiktaş's away win and a steady run
Beşiktaş are 8th with 7 points from three games, with 2 wins, 1 draw and no defeats. Their goals are 9:5, and they have won their only away match in this competition, 3-2 at 1899 Hoffenheim, which is the record we trust most. They are not yet unbeaten on the road in every sense, but they have not lost away from home here.
Across all competitions their last five produced 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, with 12 goals scored and 6 conceded. The 1-0 defeat at Kauno Žalgiris is the one blot, and the 2-2 draw with Crystal Palace at home was their last outing. Their form is steadier than Celtic's, and that is the foundation of our second tip.
Absences at Celtic Park and a first meeting
There is no earlier meeting between these clubs that we can use, so this is a fresh contest and we are working only from form, the table and the market. Celtic are missing L. Emenalo, A. Johnston, Jota, S. Mheuka, A. Trusty, Yang Hyun-Jun and J. van den Berg. Seven players out is a heavy list for a side already conceding freely in this competition.
Beşiktaş are without U. Akdag, C. Keles, O. Kokcu and F. Miretti. Four absences is a real loss, but it is a shorter list, and it lands on the team with the better results in this competition. That tilts us toward Beşiktaş in the result.
Why the goals and the double chance fit together
The goals case is built on the recent matches. Celtic and Beşiktaş have each had more than 2.5 goals in four of their last five matches. The bookmakers' expected figures give Celtic about 1 goal and Beşiktaş about 2, so roughly three in total, which is exactly the line our main tip needs. The main tip wins on 1-2, 2-1 and 2-2, and loses on 1-1, 0-1 and 0-2. The most likely exact score is 1-1 at 10.7%, and that is the scoreline that hurts the goals bet most. We are backing it with a clear head, not with certainty.
The double chance wins on 1-1, 1-2, 0-1, 0-2 and 2-2, and loses only on 2-1. Beşiktaş have won three of their last five and lost only one, and the table gap of 7 points against 0 backs them up. At 1.40 it is a short price, so we would keep it at a normal stake. The market's 69% view supports the price, and we do not think it is generous.
Other bets worth a look
- Both teams to score at odds 1.52, with the bookmakers giving it 63%. It suits the goals view, and it is the simpler way to back a lively game if you do not want the total line.
- Beşiktaş +0.5 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.40. At +0.5 the bet wins unless Beşiktaş lose by 1 or more, so a draw or a Beşiktaş win pays. It sits neatly alongside the second tip.
Both bets stay on the same side as the tips, and neither asks you to stake against them. If you only take one, we would go with Both teams to score for the goals and keep the Beşiktaş handicap as a small second stake.
Celtic vs Beşiktaş: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.10 | 3.94 | 2.25 |
| Market average | 2.99 | 3.74 | 2.20 |
| Lowest odds | 2.78 | 3.47 | 2.15 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.16 | 80.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.56 | 60.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.60 | 2.43 | 39.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.34 | 40.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.52 | 1.47 | 63.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.67 | 2.55 | 36.6% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 5/11/26, 08:13. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.8%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Celtic 1–1 Beşiktaş, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Celtic 35th (0 points), Beşiktaş 8th (7 points).
- Form in the competition: Celtic 0W 0D 3L (3:9), Beşiktaş 7W 1D 1L (17:6).
- Absences: Celtic 7, Beşiktaş 5.
Who will win Celtic vs Beşiktaş?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Celtic vs Beşiktaş: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Celtic vs Beşiktaş: team news and absences
Celtic
- L. Emenalonot in the squad · will miss the match
- A. Johnstonabsence · will miss the match
- Jotanot in the squad · will miss the match
- S. Mheukanot in the squad · will miss the match
- A. Trustynot in the squad · will miss the match
- Yang Hyun-Junhamstring injury · will miss the match
- J. van den Bergnot in the squad · will miss the match
Beşiktaş
- U. Akdagred card · will miss the match
- C. Kelesnot in the squad · will miss the match
- O. Kokcufoot injury · will miss the match
- F. Mirettishoulder injury · will miss the match
- M. Rashicanot in the squad · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 4:1 | 10 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 4 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 6 |  Union Saint-Gilloise | 3 | 2-1-0 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 | Beşiktaş | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Rennes | 4 | 1-3-0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 13 |  Lyon | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Lillestrøm | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznań | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 33 |  Plzeň | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 | Celtic | 3 | 0-0-3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Recent matches
Celtic
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
CelticLLLBeşiktaşDWWReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Celtic vs Beşiktaş?
Over 2.5 goals (1.67); Draw or Beşiktaş (X2) (1.42).
Who will win Celtic vs Beşiktaş?
We estimate: Celtic win 32%, draw 25%, Beşiktaş win 43%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 5 November 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: Celtic Park, Glasgow. Referee: Sascha Stegemann.
Who will be missing?
Celtic: L. Emenalo, A. Johnston, Jota, S. Mheuka, A. Trusty, Yang Hyun-Jun, J. van den Berg. Beşiktaş: U. Akdag, C. Keles, O. Kokcu, F. Miretti, M. Rashica. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.67); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 39% (odds 2.60).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 63% (odds 1.52).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.6%), then 1–2 (9.0%) and 2–1 (7.7%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.