Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Falkirk play Celtic at home on 1 November 2026 · 13:00 at Falkirk Stadium (Falkirk). For us, Celtic (65%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Falkirk vs Celtic: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Falkirk are 4th in the table, on 18 points after 12 matches (5W 3D 4L), and Celtic are 1st, on 28 points (9W 1D 2L).
- Attack and defence. On average Falkirk score 1.2 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.1; for Celtic the figures are 2.5 scored and 0.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Falkirk: 4W 3D 4L, goals 13–12; Celtic: 9W 1D 1L, goals 27–8.
- Head to head. From 9 meetings: 1 win for Falkirk, 8 wins for Celtic and 0 draws, with the goals at 7–24.
What to expect
For us, Celtic are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–2 (9.8%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 64%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 57% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 64% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 9; Falkirk 1 win, 0 draws, Celtic 8 wins.
- An average of 3.4 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Falkirk 13–12, Celtic 27–8.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 64%.
- Out: Falkirk 0, Celtic 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 57%, best price 1.67). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Falkirk: no absences. Absent for Celtic: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Falkirk vs Celtic: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 6.50 | 5.50 | 1.50 |
| Market average | 6.02 | 4.90 | 1.45 |
| Lowest odds | 5.25 | 4.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.13 | 82.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.46 | 63.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.67 | 2.58 | 36.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.30 | 2.21 | 42.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.62 | 57.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.19 | 42.5% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 1/11/26, 12:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.3%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Falkirk 1–2 Celtic, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Falkirk 4th (18 points), Celtic 1st (28 points).
- Form in the competition: Falkirk 4W 3D 4L (13:12), Celtic 9W 1D 1L (27:8).
- H2H: 9 matches: Falkirk 1W 0D 8L, goals 7–24.
- Absences: Falkirk 0, Celtic 0.
Who will win Falkirk vs Celtic?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Falkirk vs Celtic: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Falkirk vs Celtic: team news and absences
Falkirk
- No reported absences
Celtic
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 | Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee United | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 |  ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
Recent matches
Falkirk
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
FalkirkWWWWLCelticLDWWWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Falkirk vs Celtic?
Falkirk +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Over 2.5 goals (1.50).
Who will win Falkirk vs Celtic?
We estimate: Falkirk win 16%, draw 19%, Celtic win 65%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 1 November 2026, kick-off: 13:00, venue: Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk.
Who will be missing?
Falkirk: no absences. Celtic: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 64% (odds 1.50); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 36% (odds 2.67).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 57% (odds 1.67).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–2 as most likely (9.8%), then 0–2 (9.3%) and 1–1 (8.7%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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