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UEFA Europa League · league phase, matchday 3 · 22 October 2026 · 20:00

Celtic vs Celta Vigo: prediction, tip and odds, 22 October 2026, UEFA Europa League

1–2
1Celtic2.70
XDraw3.60
2Celta Vigo2.86

Best price · Updated 22/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Celtic v Celta Vigo: 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at Celtic Park (Glasgow), with Georgi Nikolov Kabakov refereeing. We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.

Celtic vs Celta Vigo: tip and prediction
Result
Draw or Celta Vigo (X2)
1.60
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.53
62%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Celtic vs Celta Vigo: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Celtic are 35th in the table, on 0 points after 3 matches (0W 0D 3L), and Celta Vigo are 25th, on 3 points (1W 0D 2L).
  2. Head to head. From 1 meetings: 0 wins for Celtic, 1 win for Celta Vigo and 0 draws, with the goals at 1–2.

What to expect

We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–1 score estimate, roughly 3 goals in all, and 1–1 (11.4%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), and we rate it at 63%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 62% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 58% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 1; Celtic 0 wins, 0 draws, Celta Vigo 1 win.
  2. An average of 3.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 58%.
  4. Out: Celtic 0, Celta Vigo 0.

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 62%, best price 1.53). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Celtic: no absences. Absent for Celta Vigo: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Celtic vs Celta Vigo: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price2.703.602.86
Market average2.483.532.73
Lowest odds2.323.402.60
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.211.1979.2%
Over 2.5 goals1.691.6557.6%
Under 2.5 goals2.302.2442.4%
Over 3.5 goals2.632.5736.7%
BTTS – yes1.531.5161.8%
BTTS – no2.632.4438.2%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 22/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.5%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Celtic 1–1 Celta Vigo, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Celtic 35th (0 points), Celta Vigo 25th (3 points).
  • H2H: 1 match: Celtic 0W 0D 1L, goals 1–2.
  • Absences: Celtic 0, Celta Vigo 0.

Who will win Celtic vs Celta Vigo?

Celtic38%
Draw27%
Celta Vigo35%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Celtic vs Celta Vigo: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals79.2% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.21
Likely
Celtic or draw (1X)65.2% · fair odds 1.53 · best 1.48
Likely
Under 3.5 goals63.3% · fair odds 1.58 · best 1.53
Likely
BTTS – yes61.8% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.53
Likely
Over 2.5 goals57.6% · fair odds 1.74 · best 1.69
Possible
Under 2.5 goals42.4% · fair odds 2.36 · best 2.30
Outsider
Celtic to win38.4% · fair odds 2.61 · best 2.70
Outsider
BTTS – no38.2% · fair odds 2.62 · best 2.63
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals36.7% · fair odds 2.72 · best 2.63
Outsider
Celta Vigo to win34.8% · fair odds 2.87 · best 2.86
Outsider
Draw26.8% · fair odds 3.73 · best 3.60
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.78 · Under 1.97
probability of over 52.6%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 2.14 · Under 1.66
probability of over 43.7%

Correct score prediction

1 : 111.4%
2 : 18.5%
1 : 28.3%
1 : 07.9%
0 : 17.6%
2 : 26.2%

Celtic vs Celta Vigo: team news and absences

Celtic

  • No reported absences

Celta Vigo

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Olympiakos Piraeus43-1-04:110
2Benfica33-0-010:29
3Bayer Leverkusen33-0-08:09
4Bournemouth33-0-08:19
5Ferencvárosi TC33-0-09:39
6Union Saint-Gilloise32-1-08:17
7Juventus32-1-09:37
8Beşiktaş32-1-09:57
9Sunderland32-1-04:27
10AZ Alkmaar32-0-16:26
11Omonia Nicosia32-0-15:46
12Rennes41-3-04:36
13Lyon32-0-15:66
14Real Sociedad31-1-18:34
15Crystal Palace31-1-18:54
16Sparta Praha31-1-15:34
17Levski Sofia31-1-13:34
18Dinamo Zagreb31-1-13:44
19Sturm Graz31-1-11:34
20NEC Nijmegen31-1-15:84
21Red Bull Salzburg31-1-13:64
22Anderlecht31-0-24:33
231899 Hoffenheim31-0-25:53
24AC Milan31-0-24:53
25Celta Vigo31-0-23:43
26OFI31-0-23:43
27Jagiellonia31-0-24:63
28Torreense31-0-24:73
29Celje30-1-22:71
30Hapoel Beer Sheva30-1-21:61
31Lillestrøm30-1-22:91
32Lech Poznań30-1-21:91
33Plzeň30-0-32:70
34Marseille30-0-31:60
35Celtic30-0-33:90
36Ararat-Armenia30-0-32:110

Recent matches

Celtic

1 NovLFalkirk 2–0 Celtic
28 OctDCeltic 2–2 Dundee United
25 OctWHibernian 1–2 Celtic
22 OctLCeltic 1–2 Celta Vigo
18 OctWCeltic 7–1 Heart Of Midlothian

Celta Vigo

31 OctLRayo Vallecano 3–0 Celta Vigo
25 OctDCelta Vigo 0–0 Real Betis
22 OctWCeltic 1–2 Celta Vigo
18 OctWCelta Vigo 2–1 Alavés
15 OctLCelta Vigo 1–2 Juventus

Home and away

Celtic at home2 matches: 0W 0D 2L, goals 2–5
Celta Vigo away2 matches: 1W 0D 1L, goals 2–2

Head to head

All matches
0Celtic
0Draws
1Celta Vigo
22/10/26 · Celtic 1–2 Celta Vigo

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.5%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Celtic vs Celta Vigo?

Draw or Celta Vigo (X2) (1.60); Under 3.5 goals (1.53).

Who will win Celtic vs Celta Vigo?

We estimate: Celtic win 38%, draw 27%, Celta Vigo win 35%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 22 October 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: Celtic Park, Glasgow. Referee: Georgi Nikolov Kabakov.

Who will be missing?

Celtic: no absences. Celta Vigo: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.69); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 42% (odds 2.30).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 62% (odds 1.53).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.4%), then 2–1 (8.5%) and 1–2 (8.3%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim 5 NovLillestrøm vs Plzeň 5 NovNEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia 5 NovAC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC 5 NovReal Sociedad vs Lyon 5 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.