Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Cheltenham v Newport County: 24 October 2026 · 12:30 at Whaddon Road (Cheltenham), with B. Speedie refereeing. We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Cheltenham vs Newport County: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Cheltenham are 5th in the table, on 21 points after 14 matches (6W 3D 5L), and Newport County are 14th, on 18 points (4W 6D 4L).
- Head to head. From 25 meetings: 10 wins for Cheltenham, 6 wins for Newport County and 9 draws, with the goals at 31–27.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.4%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.73), and we rate it at 55%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 55% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 50% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 25; Cheltenham 10 wins, 9 draws, Newport County 6 wins.
- An average of 2.3 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 50%.
- Out: Cheltenham 0, Newport County 0.
Alternative tip: Cheltenham or draw (1X)
Alternative tip: Cheltenham or draw (1X) (probability 65%, best price 1.50). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Cheltenham: no absences. Absent for Newport County: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Cheltenham vs Newport County: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.56 | 3.50 | 2.71 |
| Market average | 2.51 | 3.35 | 2.68 |
| Lowest odds | 2.45 | 3.20 | 2.62 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 1.27 | 73.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.95 | 1.89 | 49.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.90 | 1.86 | 50.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.30 | 3.19 | 29.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.69 | 54.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.05 | 45.2% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 10:04. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.0%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Cheltenham 1–1 Newport County, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Cheltenham 5th (21 points), Newport County 14th (18 points).
- H2H: 25 matches: Cheltenham 10W 9D 6L, goals 31–27.
- Absences: Cheltenham 0, Newport County 0.
Who will win Cheltenham vs Newport County?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Cheltenham vs Newport County: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Cheltenham vs Newport County: team news and absences
Cheltenham
- No reported absences
Newport County
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 | Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4-3-7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Cheltenham
Home and away
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Cheltenham vs Newport County?
Cheltenham or draw (1X) (1.50); Both teams to score (1.73).
Who will win Cheltenham vs Newport County?
We estimate: Cheltenham win 37%, draw 28%, Newport County win 35%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 12:30, venue: Whaddon Road, Cheltenham. Referee: B. Speedie.
Who will be missing?
Cheltenham: no absences. Newport County: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 50% (odds 1.95); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 50% (odds 1.90).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 55% (odds 1.73).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.4%), then 1–0 (9.5%) and 0–1 (9.2%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.