Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Chesterfield v Colchester: 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at SMH Group Stadium (Chesterfield), with P. Howard refereeing. We have Chesterfield (60%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Chesterfield vs Colchester: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Chesterfield are 10th in the table, on 19 points after 14 matches (5W 4D 5L), and Colchester are 23rd, on 12 points (2W 6D 5L).
What to expect
For us, Chesterfield are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–1 (10.0%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 63%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 55% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 58% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 58%.
- Out: Chesterfield 0, Colchester 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals (probability 58%, best price 1.65). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Chesterfield: no absences. Absent for Colchester: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Chesterfield vs Colchester: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.62 | 4.43 | 5.75 |
| Market average | 1.55 | 4.16 | 5.24 |
| Lowest odds | 1.52 | 3.77 | 4.76 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.18 | 78.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.62 | 57.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.28 | 2.21 | 42.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.63 | 2.52 | 36.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.69 | 54.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.06 | 45.1% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 20/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Chesterfield 2–1 Colchester, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Chesterfield 10th (19 points), Colchester 23rd (12 points).
- Absences: Chesterfield 0, Colchester 0.
Who will win Chesterfield vs Colchester?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Chesterfield vs Colchester: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Chesterfield vs Colchester: team news and absences
Chesterfield
- No reported absences
Colchester
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4-3-7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Chesterfield vs Colchester?
Chesterfield -0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.76); Under 3.5 goals (1.50).
Who will win Chesterfield vs Colchester?
We estimate: Chesterfield win 60%, draw 22%, Colchester win 18%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 20 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: SMH Group Stadium, Chesterfield. Referee: P. Howard.
Who will be missing?
Chesterfield: no absences. Colchester: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.65); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 42% (odds 2.28).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 55% (odds 1.73).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–1 as most likely (10.0%), then 2–0 (10.0%) and 1–1 (10.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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