Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Northampton against Colchester on 24 October 2026 · 12:30 at Sixfields Stadium (Northampton), and S. Jackson will referee. Northampton (46%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Northampton vs Colchester: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Northampton are 21st in the table, on 14 points after 13 matches (3W 5D 5L), and Colchester are 23rd, on 12 points (2W 6D 5L).
- Head to head. From 10 meetings: 8 wins for Northampton, 2 wins for Colchester and 0 draws, with the goals at 17–11.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.7%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.70), and we rate it at 56%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 49% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 44% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 10; Northampton 8 wins, 0 draws, Colchester 2 wins.
- An average of 2.8 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 44%.
- Out: Northampton 0, Colchester 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – no
Alternative tip: BTTS – no (probability 51%, best price 1.90). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Northampton: no absences. Absent for Colchester: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Northampton vs Colchester: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.84 |
| Market average | 2.03 | 3.25 | 3.70 |
| Lowest odds | 1.99 | 3.20 | 3.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.39 | 1.36 | 68.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.17 | 2.14 | 43.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 1.67 | 56.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.10 | 3.84 | 24.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.91 | 1.89 | 49.2% |
| BTTS – no | 1.90 | 1.83 | 50.8% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 10:04. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.1%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Northampton 1–1 Colchester, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Northampton 21st (14 points), Colchester 23rd (12 points).
- H2H: 10 matches: Northampton 8W 0D 2L, goals 17–11.
- Absences: Northampton 0, Colchester 0.
Who will win Northampton vs Colchester?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Northampton vs Colchester: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Northampton vs Colchester: team news and absences
Northampton
- No reported absences
Colchester
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4-3-7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 | Northampton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Northampton vs Colchester?
Draw or Colchester (X2) (1.80); Under 2.5 goals (1.70).
Who will win Northampton vs Colchester?
We estimate: Northampton win 46%, draw 29%, Colchester win 25%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 12:30, venue: Sixfields Stadium, Northampton. Referee: S. Jackson.
Who will be missing?
Northampton: no absences. Colchester: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 44% (odds 2.17); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 56% (odds 1.70).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 49% (odds 1.91).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.7%), then 1–0 (12.7%) and 0–1 (9.1%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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