Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–9. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Excelsior play Twente at home on 1 November 2026 · 13:30 at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion (Rotterdam); the referee is Erwin Blank. For us, Twente (63%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Excelsior vs Twente: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Excelsior are 15th in the table, on 11 points after 11 matches (3W 2D 6L), and Twente are 4th, on 23 points (7W 2D 2L).
- Attack and defence. On average Excelsior score 1.6 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.9; for Twente the figures are 1.9 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Excelsior: 3W 2D 5L, goals 16–19; Twente: 6W 2D 2L, goals 19–10.
- Head to head. From 19 meetings: 5 wins for Excelsior, 8 wins for Twente and 6 draws, with the goals at 18–35.
What to expect
For us, Twente are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–2 (9.8%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 65%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 59% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 65% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 19; Excelsior 5 wins, 6 draws, Twente 8 wins.
- An average of 2.8 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Excelsior 16–19, Twente 19–10.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 65%.
- Out: Excelsior 0, Twente 6.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 59%, best price 1.62). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Excelsior: no absences. Absent for Twente: M. Bruns, S. Lemkin, F. Thorvaldsen, D. Weidmann, L. Unnerstall, B. van Rooij. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Excelsior vs Twente: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 6.50 | 4.90 | 1.53 |
| Market average | 5.82 | 4.61 | 1.48 |
| Lowest odds | 5.32 | 4.20 | 1.42 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.16 | 1.12 | 83.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.45 | 64.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.75 | 2.66 | 35.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.25 | 2.15 | 43.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.56 | 59.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.32 | 2.27 | 40.8% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 1/11/26, 13:02. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.5%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Excelsior 1–2 Twente, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Excelsior 15th (11 points), Twente 4th (23 points).
- Form in the competition: Excelsior 3W 2D 5L (16:19), Twente 6W 2D 2L (19:10).
- H2H: 19 matches: Excelsior 5W 6D 8L, goals 18–35.
- Absences: Excelsior 0, Twente 6.
Who will win Excelsior vs Twente?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Excelsior vs Twente: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Excelsior vs Twente: team news and absences
Excelsior
- No reported absences
Twente
- M. Brunsnot in the squad · will miss the match
- S. Lemkinmuscle injury · will miss the match
- F. Thorvaldsennot in the squad · will miss the match
- D. Weidmannred card · will miss the match
- L. Unnerstallnot in the squad · doubtful
- B. van Rooijinjury · doubtful
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
Recent matches
Excelsior
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
ExcelsiorLLLLDTwenteWWLDWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Excelsior vs Twente?
Excelsior +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.84); Over 2.5 goals (1.50).
Who will win Excelsior vs Twente?
We estimate: Excelsior win 16%, draw 20%, Twente win 63%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 1 November 2026, kick-off: 13:30, venue: Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam. Referee: Erwin Blank.
Who will be missing?
Excelsior: no absences. Twente: M. Bruns, S. Lemkin, F. Thorvaldsen, D. Weidmann, L. Unnerstall, B. van Rooij. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 65% (odds 1.50); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 35% (odds 2.75).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 59% (odds 1.62).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–2 as most likely (9.8%), then 0–2 (8.9%) and 1–1 (8.7%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.