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Jupiler Pro League · Matchweek 10 · 1 November 2026 · 15:00

St. Truiden vs OH Leuven: prediction, tip and odds, 1 November 2026, Jupiler Pro League

1–2
1St. Truiden1.72
XDraw4.30
2OH Leuven4.95

Best price · Updated 1/11/26, 13:16

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TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesTableAnalysisComparisonH2HFAQ

Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

St. Truiden v OH Leuven: 1 November 2026 · 15:00 at Daio Wasabi Stayen (Sint-Truiden), with M. Allaerts refereeing. We have St. Truiden (56%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.

St. Truiden vs OH Leuven: tip and prediction
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.68
Result
St. Truiden to win
1.72
Combo
St. Truiden + over 2.5 goals combined
2.66
38% · fair odds for the combo
58%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: St. Truiden or draw (1X): 79% probability, best odds 1.23.

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St. Truiden vs OH Leuven: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. St. Truiden are 15th in the table, on 8 points after 10 matches (2W 2D 6L), and OH Leuven are 14th, on 9 points (2W 3D 5L).
  2. Attack and defence. On average St. Truiden score 1.9 goals a match in the competition and concede 2.1; for OH Leuven the figures are 0.9 scored and 1.8 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. St. Truiden: 2W 2D 5L, goals 17–19; OH Leuven: 1W 3D 5L, goals 8–16.
  4. Head to head. From 20 meetings: 7 wins for St. Truiden, 7 wins for OH Leuven and 6 draws, with the goals at 26–29.

What to expect

For us, St. Truiden are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.4%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), and we rate it at 63%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 57% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 58% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 20; St. Truiden 7 wins, 6 draws, OH Leuven 7 wins.
  2. An average of 2.8 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. In the competition, goals scored–conceded: St. Truiden 17–19, OH Leuven 8–16.
  4. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 58%.
  5. Out: St. Truiden 0, OH Leuven 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals (probability 58%, best price 1.68). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for St. Truiden: no absences. Absent for OH Leuven: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

St. Truiden vs OH Leuven: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price1.724.304.95
Market average1.674.024.55
Lowest odds1.623.604.11
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.211.1879.4%
Over 2.5 goals1.681.6258.1%
Under 2.5 goals2.302.2541.9%
Over 3.5 goals2.652.5436.9%
BTTS – yes1.671.6257.2%
BTTS – no2.252.1642.8%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 1/11/26, 13:16. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.9%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: St. Truiden 1–1 OH Leuven, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: St. Truiden 15th (8 points), OH Leuven 14th (9 points).
  • Form in the competition: St. Truiden 2W 2D 5L (17:19), OH Leuven 1W 3D 5L (8:16).
  • H2H: 20 matches: St. Truiden 7W 6D 7L, goals 26–29.
  • Absences: St. Truiden 0, OH Leuven 0.

Who will win St. Truiden vs OH Leuven?

St. Truiden56%
Draw23%
OH Leuven21%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

St. Truiden vs OH Leuven: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals79.4% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.21
Likely
St. Truiden or draw (1X)79.4% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.23
Likely
Under 3.5 goals63.1% · fair odds 1.59 · best 1.53
Likely
Over 2.5 goals58.1% · fair odds 1.72 · best 1.68
Possible
BTTS – yes57.2% · fair odds 1.75 · best 1.67
Possible
St. Truiden to win56.0% · fair odds 1.78 · best 1.72
Possible
BTTS – no42.8% · fair odds 2.34 · best 2.25
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals41.9% · fair odds 2.38 · best 2.30
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals36.9% · fair odds 2.71 · best 2.65
Outsider
Draw23.3% · fair odds 4.29 · best 4.30
Outsider
OH Leuven to win20.6% · fair odds 4.85 · best 4.95
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.89 · Under 1.85
probability of over 49.5%

Correct score prediction

1 : 110.4%
2 : 19.9%
1 : 09.5%
2 : 09.0%
3 : 16.3%
1 : 25.7%

St. Truiden vs OH Leuven: team news and absences

St. Truiden

  • No reported absences

OH Leuven

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Club Brugge KV109-0-126:827
2Union Saint-Gilloise108-2-029:726
3Gent108-1-119:625
4Charleroi108-0-221:1224
5Anderlecht106-1-313:1119
6Genk104-3-318:1415
7Lommel United104-3-313:1115
8KVC Westerlo104-2-425:2514
9Standard Liège103-3-415:1612
10KV Mechelen103-3-413:1812
11Zulte Waregem103-2-512:1611
12Antwerp103-1-616:2210
13SK Beveren103-1-613:2010
14OH Leuven102-3-510:179
15St. Truiden102-2-618:218
16RAAL La Louvière102-1-713:237
17Cercle Brugge101-3-613:226
18Kortrijk101-1-84:224

Recent matches

St. Truiden

1 NovLSt. Truiden 1–2 OH Leuven
25 OctLClub Brugge KV 3–2 St. Truiden
22 OctWFC Midtjylland 0–1 St. Truiden
15 OctWSt. Truiden 2–0 FC Iberia 1999
11 OctLKV Mechelen 4–3 St. Truiden

OH Leuven

1 NovWSt. Truiden 1–2 OH Leuven
24 OctDOH Leuven 2–2 Lommel United
11 OctDUnion Saint-Gilloise 1–1 OH Leuven
19 SeptWOH Leuven 2–0 RAAL La Louvière
12 SeptDOH Leuven 1–1 Cercle Brugge

Home and away

St. Truiden at home5 matches: 1W 1D 3L, goals 6–8
OH Leuven away5 matches: 1W 1D 3L, goals 4–9

Team comparison

St. TruidenOH Leuven
33%Form67%
60%Attack40%
39%Defence61%
71%Head to head29%
57%Goals43%
55.2%Overall44.8%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Form in the competition

St. TruidenLLLLL
OH LeuvenWDDWD

Head to head

All matches
7St. Truiden
6Draws
7OH Leuven
1/11/26 · St. Truiden 1–2 OH Leuven
18/1/26 · St. Truiden 1–0 OH Leuven
23/11/25 · OH Leuven 1–2 St. Truiden
16/3/25 · OH Leuven 3–2 St. Truiden
15/9/24 · St. Truiden 2–1 OH Leuven
17/5/24 · St. Truiden 1–1 OH Leuven

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.9%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for St. Truiden vs OH Leuven?

Over 2.5 goals (1.68); St. Truiden to win (1.72).

Who will win St. Truiden vs OH Leuven?

We estimate: St. Truiden win 56%, draw 23%, OH Leuven win 21%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 1 November 2026, kick-off: 15:00, venue: Daio Wasabi Stayen, Sint-Truiden. Referee: M. Allaerts.

Who will be missing?

St. Truiden: no absences. OH Leuven: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.68); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 42% (odds 2.30).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 57% (odds 1.67).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.4%), then 2–1 (9.9%) and 1–0 (9.5%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Standard Liège vs SK Beveren 6 NovKVC Westerlo vs Charleroi 7 NovOH Leuven vs KV Mechelen 7 NovAntwerp vs Lommel United 7 NovRAAL La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge 7 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.