Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Feyenoord against Fortuna Sittard on 31 October 2026 · 15:30 at Stadion Feijenoord (Rotterdam), and Joey Kooij will referee. Feyenoord (82%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Feyenoord are 1st in the table, on 25 points after 11 matches (7W 4D 0L), and Fortuna Sittard are 6th, on 19 points (5W 4D 2L).
- Attack and defence. On average Feyenoord score 3.2 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.1; for Fortuna Sittard the figures are 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Feyenoord: 7W 3D 0L, goals 32–11; Fortuna Sittard: 5W 3D 2L, goals 17–17.
- Head to head. From 19 meetings: 13 wins for Feyenoord, 2 wins for Fortuna Sittard and 4 draws, with the goals at 41–18.
What to expect
For us, Feyenoord are the more likely winners. We estimate a 3–1 score, roughly 4 goals in all, with 3–0 (9.6%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
Odds of 1.19 on the result do not offer much, so it is worth turning to the goals markets: Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.70), which we rate at 57%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 53% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 75% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 19; Feyenoord 13 wins, 4 draws, Fortuna Sittard 2 wins.
- An average of 3.1 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Feyenoord 32–11, Fortuna Sittard 17–17.
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 75%.
- Out: Feyenoord 7, Fortuna Sittard 2.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 53%, best price 1.80). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Feyenoord: T. Beelen, J. Bos, R. Nelson, B. Nieuwkoop, G. Smal, J. St. Juste, S. van Persie. Absent for Fortuna Sittard: R. Bayram, I. Marquez. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.19 | 9.45 | 17.00 |
| Market average | 1.15 | 8.24 | 14.55 |
| Lowest odds | 1.13 | 6.57 | 9.64 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.08 | 1.05 | 89.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.24 | 75.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.90 | 3.74 | 25.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.70 | 1.66 | 56.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.74 | 53.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 2.00 | 46.5% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 31/10/26, 13:04. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.1%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Feyenoord 3–0 Fortuna Sittard, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Feyenoord 1st (25 points), Fortuna Sittard 6th (19 points).
- Form in the competition: Feyenoord 7W 3D 0L (32:11), Fortuna Sittard 5W 3D 2L (17:17).
- H2H: 19 matches: Feyenoord 13W 4D 2L, goals 41–18.
- Absences: Feyenoord 7, Fortuna Sittard 2.
Who will win Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard: team news and absences
Feyenoord
- T. Beelenbroken leg · will miss the match
- J. Bosknee injury · will miss the match
- R. Nelsonmuscle injury · will miss the match
- B. Nieuwkoopknee injury · will miss the match
- G. Smalankle injury · will miss the match
- J. St. Justeabsence · will miss the match
- S. van Persieknock · will miss the match
Fortuna Sittard
- R. Bayramknee injury · will miss the match
- I. Marquezinjury · doubtful
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
Recent matches
Feyenoord
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
FeyenoordDDWWWFortuna SittardDWDDWHead to head
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard?
Feyenoord -1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.50); Over 3.5 goals (1.70).
Who will win Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard?
We estimate: Feyenoord win 82%, draw 12%, Fortuna Sittard win 7%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 31 October 2026, kick-off: 15:30, venue: Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam. Referee: Joey Kooij.
Who will be missing?
Feyenoord: T. Beelen, J. Bos, R. Nelson, B. Nieuwkoop, G. Smal, J. St. Juste, S. van Persie. Fortuna Sittard: R. Bayram, I. Marquez. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 75% (odds 1.28); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 25% (odds 3.90).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 53% (odds 1.80).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 3–0 as most likely (9.6%), then 2–0 (9.3%) and 3–1 (8.1%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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