Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
PSV Eindhoven play Feyenoord at home on 25 October 2026 · 13:30 at Philips Stadion (Eindhoven); the referee is Serdar Gözübüyük. For us, PSV Eindhoven (47%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. PSV Eindhoven are 3rd in the table, on 23 points after 11 matches (7W 2D 2L), and Feyenoord are 1st, on 25 points (7W 4D 0L).
- Attack and defence. On average PSV Eindhoven score 3.0 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.3; for Feyenoord the figures are 3.4 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. PSV Eindhoven: 6W 1D 2L, goals 27–12; Feyenoord: 7W 2D 0L, goals 31–10.
- Head to head. From 40 meetings: 17 wins for PSV Eindhoven, 14 wins for Feyenoord and 9 draws, with the goals at 73–61.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–2 score estimate, roughly 4 goals in all, and 2–1 (8.6%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.81), and we rate it at 53%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 72% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 73% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 40; PSV Eindhoven 17 wins, 9 draws, Feyenoord 14 wins.
- An average of 3.4 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: PSV Eindhoven 27–12, Feyenoord 31–10.
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 73%.
- Out: PSV Eindhoven 9, Feyenoord 7.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 47%, best price 2.09). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for PSV Eindhoven: S. Mijnans, A. Nagalo, A. Plea, J. Schouten, P. Wanner, S. Lammers, R. Pepi, K. Sildillia, R. van Bommel. Absent for Feyenoord: T. Beelen, J. Bos, R. Nelson, B. Nieuwkoop, G. Smal, S. van Persie, J. Moder. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.12 | 4.33 | 3.23 |
| Market average | 2.03 | 4.07 | 3.11 |
| Lowest odds | 1.95 | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.10 | 1.06 | 87.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.29 | 72.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.60 | 3.42 | 27.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.81 | 1.76 | 53.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.31 | 1.28 | 72.2% |
| BTTS – no | 3.60 | 3.34 | 27.8% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 25/10/26, 12:59. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.0%.
At a glance
- Likely result: PSV Eindhoven 2–1 Feyenoord, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: PSV Eindhoven 3rd (23 points), Feyenoord 1st (25 points).
- Form in the competition: PSV Eindhoven 6W 1D 2L (27:12), Feyenoord 7W 2D 0L (31:10).
- H2H: 40 matches: PSV Eindhoven 17W 9D 14L, goals 73–61.
- Absences: PSV Eindhoven 9, Feyenoord 7.
Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord: team news and absences
PSV Eindhoven
- S. Mijnansred card · will miss the match
- A. Nagaloinjury · will miss the match
- A. Pleaabsence · will miss the match
- J. Schoutenknee injury · will miss the match
- P. Wannerfoot injury · will miss the match
- S. Lammersabsence · doubtful
- R. Pepiinjury · doubtful
- K. Sildilliaabsence · doubtful
- R. van Bommelnot in the squad · doubtful
Feyenoord
- T. Beelenbroken leg · will miss the match
- J. Bosknee injury · will miss the match
- R. Nelsonmuscle injury · will miss the match
- B. Nieuwkoopknee injury · will miss the match
- G. Smalankle injury · will miss the match
- S. van Persieknock · will miss the match
- J. Moderknee injury · doubtful
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 | PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
Recent matches
PSV Eindhoven
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
PSV EindhovenWDLWLFeyenoordDDWWWHead to head
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord?
PSV Eindhoven -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.85); Over 3.5 goals (1.81).
Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord?
We estimate: PSV Eindhoven win 47%, draw 23%, Feyenoord win 30%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 25 October 2026, kick-off: 13:30, venue: Philips Stadion, Eindhoven. Referee: Serdar Gözübüyük.
Who will be missing?
PSV Eindhoven: S. Mijnans, A. Nagalo, A. Plea, J. Schouten, P. Wanner, S. Lammers, R. Pepi, K. Sildillia, R. van Bommel. Feyenoord: T. Beelen, J. Bos, R. Nelson, B. Nieuwkoop, G. Smal, S. van Persie, J. Moder. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 73% (odds 1.32); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 27% (odds 3.60).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 72% (odds 1.31).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–1 as most likely (8.6%), then 1–1 (8.4%) and 2–2 (7.1%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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