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League of Ireland Premier Division · Matchweek 35 · 23 October 2026 · 19:45

Galway United vs St Patrick's Athletic: prediction, tip and odds, 23 October 2026, League of Ireland Premier Division

1Galway United5.37
XDraw4.18
2St Patrick's Athletic1.62

Best price · Updated 23/10/26, 18:00

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TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesTableAnalysisH2HFAQ

Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

It is Galway United against St Patrick's Athletic on 23 October 2026 · 19:45 at Eamonn Deacy Park (Galway). St Patrick's Athletic (58%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.

Galway United vs St Patrick's Athletic: tip and prediction
Handicap
Galway United +1 (Asian handicap)
1.83
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.76
Combo
St Patrick's Athletic + over 2.5 goals combined
2.63
38% · fair odds for the combo
54%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or St Patrick's Athletic (X2): 81% probability, best odds 1.18.

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Galway United vs St Patrick's Athletic: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Galway United are 8th in the table, on 42 points after 36 matches (10W 12D 14L), and St Patrick's Athletic are 3rd, on 60 points (17W 9D 10L).
  2. Head to head. From 15 meetings: 3 wins for Galway United, 7 wins for St Patrick's Athletic and 5 draws, with the goals at 15–21.

What to expect

For us, St Patrick's Athletic are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.5%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.76), and we rate it at 55%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 54% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 55% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 15; Galway United 3 wins, 5 draws, St Patrick's Athletic 7 wins.
  2. An average of 2.4 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 55%.
  4. Out: Galway United 0, St Patrick's Athletic 0.

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 54%, best price 1.75). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Galway United: no absences. Absent for St Patrick's Athletic: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Galway United vs St Patrick's Athletic: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price5.374.181.62
Market average5.013.941.61
Lowest odds4.803.801.57
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.241.2176.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.761.7254.7%
Under 2.5 goals2.132.0845.3%
Over 3.5 goals2.882.7633.5%
BTTS – yes1.751.7353.5%
BTTS – no2.001.9946.5%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 23/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.6%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Galway United 1–1 St Patrick's Athletic, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Galway United 8th (42 points), St Patrick's Athletic 3rd (60 points).
  • H2H: 15 matches: Galway United 3W 5D 7L, goals 15–21.
  • Absences: Galway United 0, St Patrick's Athletic 0.

Who will win Galway United vs St Patrick's Athletic?

Galway United19%
Draw24%
St Patrick's Athletic58%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Galway United vs St Patrick's Athletic: more betting tips

Draw or St Patrick's Athletic (X2)81.4% · fair odds 1.23 · best 1.18
Likely
Over 1.5 goals76.5% · fair odds 1.31 · best 1.24
Likely
Under 3.5 goals66.5% · fair odds 1.50 · best 1.44
Likely
St Patrick's Athletic to win57.8% · fair odds 1.73 · best 1.62
Possible
Over 2.5 goals54.7% · fair odds 1.83 · best 1.76
Possible
BTTS – yes53.5% · fair odds 1.87 · best 1.75
Possible
BTTS – no46.5% · fair odds 2.15 · best 2.00
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals45.3% · fair odds 2.21 · best 2.13
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals33.5% · fair odds 2.98 · best 2.88
Outsider
Draw23.6% · fair odds 4.23 · best 4.18
Outsider
Galway United to win18.6% · fair odds 5.39 · best 5.37
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 2.02 · Under 1.71
probability of over 45.9%

Correct score prediction

1 : 110.5%
0 : 110.5%
1 : 29.9%
0 : 29.9%
0 : 36.3%
1 : 36.3%

Galway United vs St Patrick's Athletic: team news and absences

Galway United

  • No reported absences

St Patrick's Athletic

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Shamrock Rovers3620-8-859:3868
2Bohemians3619-8-963:4465
3St Patrick's Athletic3617-9-1055:3160
4Shelbourne3612-13-1152:5049
5Derry City3611-15-1050:4748
6Dundalk3611-12-1355:5945
7Waterford3610-13-1354:6143
8Galway United3610-12-1446:5342
9Drogheda United3610-10-1644:5740
10Sligo Rovers365-10-2128:6625

Recent matches

Galway United

30 OctLDrogheda United 2–0 Galway United
23 OctDGalway United 0–0 St Patrick's Athletic
19 OctLWaterford 3–2 Galway United
16 OctWGalway United 2–0 Shamrock Rovers
25 SeptDGalway United 1–1 Shelbourne

St Patrick's Athletic

30 OctLSt Patrick's Athletic 2–3 Bohemians
23 OctDGalway United 0–0 St Patrick's Athletic
19 OctLDerry City 1–0 St Patrick's Athletic
16 OctLSt Patrick's Athletic 1–2 Shelbourne
19 SeptWSligo Rovers 0–1 St Patrick's Athletic

Home and away

Galway United at home18 matches: 6W 7D 5L, goals 25–25
St Patrick's Athletic away18 matches: 7W 6D 5L, goals 21–16

Head to head

All matches
3Galway United
5Draws
7St Patrick's Athletic
23/10/26 · Galway United 0–0 St Patrick's Athletic
3/7/26 · St Patrick's Athletic 3–0 Galway United
1/5/26 · Galway United 2–2 St Patrick's Athletic
2/3/26 · St Patrick's Athletic 1–0 Galway United
19/9/25 · St Patrick's Athletic 1–1 Galway United
14/9/25 · St Patrick's Athletic 3–1 Galway United

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.6%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Galway United vs St Patrick's Athletic?

Galway United +1 (Asian handicap) (1.83); Over 2.5 goals (1.76).

Who will win Galway United vs St Patrick's Athletic?

We estimate: Galway United win 19%, draw 24%, St Patrick's Athletic win 58%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 23 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Eamonn Deacy Park, Galway.

Who will be missing?

Galway United: no absences. St Patrick's Athletic: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 55% (odds 1.76); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 45% (odds 2.13).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 54% (odds 1.75).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.5%), then 0–1 (10.5%) and 1–2 (9.9%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

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18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.