Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Genk against Standard Liège on 25 October 2026 · 12:30 at Cegeka Arena (Genk), and J. Vergoote will referee. Genk (55%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Genk vs Standard Liège: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Genk are 6th in the table, on 15 points after 10 matches (4W 3D 3L), and Standard Liège are 9th, on 12 points (3W 3D 4L).
- Attack and defence. On average Genk score 2.0 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.5; for Standard Liège the figures are 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Genk: 3W 3D 2L, goals 16–12; Standard Liège: 3W 2D 3L, goals 13–13.
- Head to head. From 48 meetings: 16 wins for Genk, 19 wins for Standard Liège and 13 draws, with the goals at 54–64.
What to expect
For us, Genk are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.4%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 59% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 59% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 48; Genk 16 wins, 13 draws, Standard Liège 19 wins.
- An average of 2.5 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Genk 16–12, Standard Liège 13–13.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 59%.
- Out: Genk 0, Standard Liège 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, best price 1.64). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Genk: no absences. Absent for Standard Liège: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Genk vs Standard Liège: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.75 | 4.10 | 4.98 |
| Market average | 1.69 | 3.86 | 4.67 |
| Lowest odds | 1.62 | 3.50 | 4.33 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.17 | 80.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.64 | 1.60 | 59.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.30 | 40.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.58 | 2.45 | 38.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.58 | 58.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.26 | 41.2% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 25/10/26, 12:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.5%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Genk 1–1 Standard Liège, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Genk 6th (15 points), Standard Liège 9th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Genk 3W 3D 2L (16:12), Standard Liège 3W 2D 3L (13:13).
- H2H: 48 matches: Genk 16W 13D 19L, goals 54–64.
- Absences: Genk 0, Standard Liège 0.
Who will win Genk vs Standard Liège?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Genk vs Standard Liège: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Genk vs Standard Liège: team news and absences
Genk
- No reported absences
Standard Liège
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club Brugge KV | 10 | 9-0-1 | 26:8 | 27 |
| 2 |  Union Saint-Gilloise | 10 | 8-2-0 | 29:7 | 26 |
| 3 |  Gent | 10 | 8-1-1 | 19:6 | 25 |
| 4 |  Charleroi | 10 | 8-0-2 | 21:12 | 24 |
| 5 |  Anderlecht | 10 | 6-1-3 | 13:11 | 19 |
| 6 | Genk | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 7 |  Lommel United | 10 | 4-3-3 | 13:11 | 15 |
| 8 |  KVC Westerlo | 10 | 4-2-4 | 25:25 | 14 |
| 9 | Standard Liège | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:16 | 12 |
| 10 |  KV Mechelen | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:18 | 12 |
| 11 |  Zulte Waregem | 10 | 3-2-5 | 12:16 | 11 |
| 12 |  Antwerp | 10 | 3-1-6 | 16:22 | 10 |
| 13 |  SK Beveren | 10 | 3-1-6 | 13:20 | 10 |
| 14 |  OH Leuven | 10 | 2-3-5 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 15 |  St. Truiden | 10 | 2-2-6 | 18:21 | 8 |
| 16 |  RAAL La Louvière | 10 | 2-1-7 | 13:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Cercle Brugge | 10 | 1-3-6 | 13:22 | 6 |
| 18 |  Kortrijk | 10 | 1-1-8 | 4:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
Genk
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
GenkLWWLDStandard LiègeDLLLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Genk vs Standard Liège?
Genk -0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.93); Under 3.5 goals (1.55).
Who will win Genk vs Standard Liège?
We estimate: Genk win 55%, draw 24%, Standard Liège win 20%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 25 October 2026, kick-off: 12:30, venue: Cegeka Arena, Genk. Referee: J. Vergoote.
Who will be missing?
Genk: no absences. Standard Liège: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.64); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 41% (odds 2.40).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 59% (odds 1.62).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.4%), then 2–1 (9.9%) and 1–0 (9.5%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.