Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
KV Mechelen v Genk: 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at Achter de Kazerne (Mechelen), with Lothar D'hondt, Belgium refereeing. We have Genk (49%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
KV Mechelen vs Genk: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. KV Mechelen are 10th in the table, on 12 points after 10 matches (3W 3D 4L), and Genk are 6th, on 15 points (4W 3D 3L).
- Attack and defence. On average KV Mechelen score 1.1 goals a match in the competition and concede 2.1; for Genk the figures are 2.0 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. KV Mechelen: 1W 3D 4L, goals 9–17; Genk: 4W 3D 2L, goals 18–13.
- Head to head. From 36 meetings: 9 wins for KV Mechelen, 19 wins for Genk and 8 draws, with the goals at 41–62.
What to expect
For us, Genk are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (11.2%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.51), and we rate it at 65%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 58% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 57% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 36; KV Mechelen 9 wins, 8 draws, Genk 19 wins.
- An average of 2.9 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: KV Mechelen 9–17, Genk 18–13.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 57%.
- Out: KV Mechelen 0, Genk 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 58%, best price 1.62). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for KV Mechelen: no absences. Absent for Genk: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
KV Mechelen vs Genk: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.92 | 3.78 | 1.97 |
| Market average | 3.61 | 3.64 | 1.92 |
| Lowest odds | 3.20 | 3.22 | 1.83 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.20 | 78.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 1.66 | 56.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.29 | 2.19 | 43.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.75 | 2.64 | 35.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.59 | 58.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.23 | 41.5% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 31/10/26, 13:25. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.5%.
At a glance
- Likely result: KV Mechelen 1–1 Genk, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: KV Mechelen 10th (12 points), Genk 6th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: KV Mechelen 1W 3D 4L (9:17), Genk 4W 3D 2L (18:13).
- H2H: 36 matches: KV Mechelen 9W 8D 19L, goals 41–62.
- Absences: KV Mechelen 0, Genk 0.
Who will win KV Mechelen vs Genk?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
KV Mechelen vs Genk: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
KV Mechelen vs Genk: team news and absences
KV Mechelen
- No reported absences
Genk
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club Brugge KV | 10 | 9-0-1 | 26:8 | 27 |
| 2 |  Union Saint-Gilloise | 10 | 8-2-0 | 29:7 | 26 |
| 3 |  Gent | 10 | 8-1-1 | 19:6 | 25 |
| 4 |  Charleroi | 10 | 8-0-2 | 21:12 | 24 |
| 5 |  Anderlecht | 10 | 6-1-3 | 13:11 | 19 |
| 6 | Genk | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 7 |  Lommel United | 10 | 4-3-3 | 13:11 | 15 |
| 8 |  KVC Westerlo | 10 | 4-2-4 | 25:25 | 14 |
| 9 |  Standard Liège | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:16 | 12 |
| 10 | KV Mechelen | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:18 | 12 |
| 11 |  Zulte Waregem | 10 | 3-2-5 | 12:16 | 11 |
| 12 |  Antwerp | 10 | 3-1-6 | 16:22 | 10 |
| 13 |  SK Beveren | 10 | 3-1-6 | 13:20 | 10 |
| 14 |  OH Leuven | 10 | 2-3-5 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 15 |  St. Truiden | 10 | 2-2-6 | 18:21 | 8 |
| 16 |  RAAL La Louvière | 10 | 2-1-7 | 13:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Cercle Brugge | 10 | 1-3-6 | 13:22 | 6 |
| 18 |  Kortrijk | 10 | 1-1-8 | 4:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
KV Mechelen
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
KV MechelenWWWDLGenkLWWLDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for KV Mechelen vs Genk?
KV Mechelen or draw (1X) (1.91); Under 3.5 goals (1.51).
Who will win KV Mechelen vs Genk?
We estimate: KV Mechelen win 26%, draw 26%, Genk win 49%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 31 October 2026, kick-off: 15:00, venue: Achter de Kazerne, Mechelen. Referee: Lothar D'hondt, Belgium.
Who will be missing?
KV Mechelen: no absences. Genk: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 57% (odds 1.70); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 43% (odds 2.29).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 58% (odds 1.62).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.2%), then 1–2 (9.5%) and 0–1 (9.4%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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