Gent vs Kortrijk: prediction, tip and odds, 8 November 2026, Jupiler Pro League

Gent vs Kortrijk betting prediction

Gent host Kortrijk at the Planet Group Arena in the Jupiler Pro League, Matchweek 11, with kick-off at 15:00 on 8 November 2026. The home side are the clear favourites, and our main tip is Gent -1 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.67, which the bookmakers rate at a 59% chance. The bet asks more than a simple win, so we want to be precise about it from the start: Gent must win by two or more, and a win by exactly one returns the stake.

Gent's home record does most of the talking

In this competition Gent sit third with 25 points from ten matches, with eight wins, one draw and one defeat. Their home form is the strongest part of that picture. They have won all five of their home games, scoring 11 and conceding only two, so we see a side that rarely gives the home crowd much to worry about.

Their recent matches in all competitions tell a slightly different story. Gent have won three of their last five, lost two, scored seven and conceded four. Both defeats came away from home, at Braga and at Lommel United, and that is the reason we are not calling them untouchable on the road. The win over Anderlecht, 4-0 at home, is the kind of result that gives us confidence in this venue.

Kortrijk's away figures make grim reading

Kortrijk are 18th with four points from nine games in this competition, with one win, one draw and seven defeats. They have scored three and conceded 19 across the season so far. Away from home they have taken just one point, a draw, from five trips, with one goal scored and 11 conceded. Those numbers are from the league alone, so they do not include cup or European fixtures.

Their last five matches in all competitions include one win, a 1-0 victory at home against SK Beveren, one draw, at Standard Liège, and three defeats. Across those five they have scored two and conceded nine. A side that struggles this much to score is not the kind we would back to keep up with a team at home in form.

Head-to-head and the absence list

The last 37 meetings give Gent 21 wins, five draws and 11 wins for Kortrijk, with goals at 59 for and 33 against. Kortrijk did beat Gent 2-1 in March 2025, so the fixture does not always go the way the table suggests.

No absences have been reported for either side, so there are no selection doubts to weigh up. That leaves the decision to the form and the head-to-head record, and both point the same way.

Our main tip and what the odds say

The bookmakers make Gent the favourites at a 67% chance to win, with best odds of 1.44. The draw sits at 20% (best odds 4.78) and a Kortrijk win at 12% (best odds 8.60). The expected goals are 2 for Gent and 1 for Kortrijk, which puts the match at around three goals in total. The most likely exact scores are 2-0 at 12.1%, 1-0 at 11.6% and 2-1 at 9.7%.

We like Gent -1 at 1.67 because it asks for a clear margin, and the case for that margin is in the home form and the head-to-head. Gent have won 21 of the last 37 meetings against Kortrijk's 11, and they sit 3rd with 25 points against Kortrijk's 4. The market gives the bet 59% at best odds 1.67, and we think that is about right. The bet settles as a win on 2-0, 3-0 and 3-1, returns the stake on 1-0 and 2-1, and loses on 1-1. A 1-1 draw is the result that hurts most, and the bookmakers still give it around a one-in-five chance.

Another tip: Under 3.5 goals

Our second tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds 1.47, which the market rates at 65%. It wins on 2-0, 1-0, 2-1, 1-1 and 3-0, and it loses only on 3-1 among the likeliest scores. Gent have gone above 2.5 goals in just one of their last five matches, and Kortrijk in only two of theirs. Gent also kept a clean sheet in three of those five games. We would not call this a tight contest, but the goal patterns give us reason to back Under 3.5 as the safer second bet.

Other bets worth a look

If the handicap line feels too fine, these are the alternatives we would look at, all at the odds quoted:

• Gent -0.25 (Asian handicap) at 1.21: half the stake on Gent -0.5 and half on Gent +0, so a Gent win wins in full, a draw returns half the stake and a defeat loses.
• Gent to win at 1.44: the straightforward option, with the 67% market chance behind it.
• BTTS: no at 1.85: rated at 52%, which suits a Kortrijk side that has failed to score in three of its last five.

Our preference stays with the main tip, and these options are there for readers who want a different risk profile. The stakes should be sized to the bet you choose, not to the list.

Gent have been the stronger side at home, and Kortrijk have struggled to score on the road. We expect the hosts to get the win, and we think the two-goal margin is achievable, though a one-goal win would still return the stake on our main bet. Gent -1 is our pick, with Under 3.5 as the second.