Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Guingamp v Saint-Étienne: 31 October 2026 · 19:00 at Stade de Roudourou (Guingamp), with Benoit Millot refereeing. We have Saint-Étienne (51%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Guingamp are 9th in the table, on 14 points after 11 matches (4W 2D 5L), and Saint-Étienne are 1st, on 25 points (8W 1D 2L).
- Attack and defence. On average Guingamp score 1.3 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.5; for Saint-Étienne the figures are 2.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Guingamp: 3W 2D 5L, goals 13–15; Saint-Étienne: 8W 1D 1L, goals 23–8.
- Head to head. From 19 meetings: 6 wins for Guingamp, 11 wins for Saint-Étienne and 2 draws, with the goals at 22–28.
What to expect
For us, Saint-Étienne are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (11.4%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.70), and we rate it at 55%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 55% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 53% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 19; Guingamp 6 wins, 2 draws, Saint-Étienne 11 wins.
- An average of 2.6 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Guingamp 13–15, Saint-Étienne 23–8.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 53%.
- Out: Guingamp 0, Saint-Étienne 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 55%, best price 1.70). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Guingamp: no absences. Absent for Saint-Étienne: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 4.41 | 3.79 | 1.90 |
| Market average | 4.04 | 3.57 | 1.81 |
| Lowest odds | 3.26 | 3.17 | 1.75 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.23 | 75.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.82 | 1.79 | 52.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.06 | 1.99 | 47.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.90 | 32.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.68 | 55.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.06 | 44.9% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 31/10/26, 17:08. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 8.2%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Guingamp 1–1 Saint-Étienne, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Guingamp 9th (14 points), Saint-Étienne 1st (25 points).
- Form in the competition: Guingamp 3W 2D 5L (13:15), Saint-Étienne 8W 1D 1L (23:8).
- H2H: 19 matches: Guingamp 6W 2D 11L, goals 22–28.
- Absences: Guingamp 0, Saint-Étienne 0.
Who will win Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne: team news and absences
Guingamp
- No reported absences
Saint-Étienne
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint-Étienne | 11 | 8-1-2 | 23:11 | 25 |
| 2 |  Montpellier | 11 | 7-3-1 | 16:6 | 24 |
| 3 |  Nancy | 11 | 7-1-3 | 16:9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Reims | 11 | 5-6-0 | 22:12 | 21 |
| 5 |  PAU | 11 | 6-2-3 | 16:11 | 20 |
| 6 |  RED Star FC 93 | 11 | 5-2-4 | 14:16 | 17 |
| 7 |  Annecy | 11 | 5-1-5 | 14:15 | 16 |
| 8 |  Dijon | 11 | 4-3-4 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 9 | Guingamp | 11 | 4-2-5 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 10 |  Metz | 11 | 3-5-3 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 11 |  Rodez | 11 | 4-1-6 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 12 |  Dunkerque | 11 | 3-3-5 | 14:17 | 12 |
| 13 |  Sochaux | 11 | 2-5-4 | 8:14 | 11 |
| 14 |  Boulogne | 11 | 1-7-3 | 7:8 | 10 |
| 15 |  Nantes | 11 | 2-3-6 | 12:18 | 9 |
| 16 |  Laval | 11 | 2-3-6 | 14:21 | 9 |
| 17 |  Clermont Foot | 11 | 0-8-3 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 18 |  Grenoble | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:20 | 8 |
Recent matches
Guingamp
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
GuingampWWLLLSaint-ÉtienneLWWWDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne?
Saint-Étienne -0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.92); Both teams to score (1.70).
Who will win Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne?
We estimate: Guingamp win 23%, draw 26%, Saint-Étienne win 51%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 31 October 2026, kick-off: 19:00, venue: Stade de Roudourou, Guingamp. Referee: Benoit Millot.
Who will be missing?
Guingamp: no absences. Saint-Étienne: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.82); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 47% (odds 2.06).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 55% (odds 1.70).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.4%), then 0–1 (10.3%) and 1–2 (9.7%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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